Manchester City at Watford

Updated

Manchester City

73.7%12.5%13.8%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.59Projected Goals 0.48
3Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Aston Villa-230
W 1-2 vs West Ham United-385
W 0-3 vs Everton-525
W 2-0 at Manchester United-140
L 2-0 vs Crystal Palace-700
Watford
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Chelsea+975
L 2-4 at Leicester City+390
W 1-4 vs Manchester United+540
L 0-1 at Arsenal+650
L 1-0 vs Southampton+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-422-500-475-477-527-475-475-390.5
Watford+1011+1200+1200+1330+1254+1200+1330+1441.6
Draw+519+600+650+656+587+650+656+619.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-540--550---550-500-390.5
Watford+1270-+1300--+1300+1300+1441.6
Draw+610-+641--+650+641+619.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -479 to -489
Watford ML moved from +1345 to +1330

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -490 to -550
Watford ML moved from +1350 to +1200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-102o3¼-105o3¼-111o3½+118-o3¼-111o3¼-105o3¼+104
Underu3¼-118u3¼-115u3¼-109u3½-133-u3¼-109u3½-133u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100o3½+115o3½+116-o3½+105o3½+115o3½+116o3¼+104
Underu3½-130u3½-135u3½-136-u3½-135u3½-135u3½-135u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes35.5%
 
No64.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.63%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 417.20%
Exactly 65.41%
Exactly 80.91%
 
Exactly 114.22%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.57%
Exactly 72.38%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 07.51%
Exactly 119.44%
Exactly 225.17%
Exactly 321.72%
Exactly 414.06%
Exactly 57.28%
Exactly 63.14%
Exactly 71.16%
Exactly 80.38%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 061.66%
Exactly 129.82%
Exactly 27.21%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.10%
Exactly 224.40%
Exactly 44.12%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.30%
Exactly 311.57%
Exactly 51.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 030.15%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 221.67%
Exactly 38.66%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 079.94%
Exactly 117.90%
Exactly 22.00%
Exactly 30.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals61.32%
Wins by 3+ goals38.23%
Wins by 4+ goals20.08%
Wins by 5+ goals9.00%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals0.93%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal21.23%
Wins by 2 goals23.10%
Wins by 3 goals18.15%
Wins by 4 goals11.08%
Wins by 5 goals5.52%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal3.96%
Wins by 2 goals0.80%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.37%4.63%
1.581.15%18.85%
2.559.29%40.71%
3.536.91%63.09%
4.519.71%80.29%
5.59.14%90.86%
6.53.73%96.27%
7.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.49%7.51%
1.573.06%26.94%
2.547.89%52.11%
3.526.17%73.83%
4.512.11%87.89%
5.54.83%95.17%
6.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.538.34%61.66%
1.58.53%91.47%
2.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.90%24.10%
1.541.60%58.40%
2.517.20%82.80%
3.55.63%94.37%
4.51.52%98.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Watford
Score012
0
4.63%
2.24%
0.54%
1
11.98%
5.80%
1.40%
2
15.52%
7.50%
1.81%
3
13.39%
6.48%
1.57%
4
8.67%
4.19%
1.01%
5
4.49%
2.17%
0.52%
Manchester City
1-011.98%
2-015.52%
2-17.50%
3-013.39%
3-16.48%
3-21.57%
4-08.67%
4-14.19%
4-21.01%
4-30.16%
5-04.49%
5-12.17%
5-20.52%
Draw
0-04.63%
1-15.80%
2-21.81%
3-30.25%
Watford
0-12.24%
0-20.54%
1-21.40%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Watford
Score012
0
24.10%
5.40%
0.60%
1
28.90%
6.47%
0.72%
2
17.32%
3.88%
0.43%
3
6.92%
1.55%
0.17%
4
2.07%
0.46%
0.05%
5
0.50%
0.11%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-028.90%
2-017.32%
2-13.88%
3-06.92%
3-11.55%
3-20.17%
4-02.07%
4-10.46%
5-00.50%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-024.10%
1-16.47%
2-20.43%
Watford
0-15.40%
0-20.60%
1-20.72%