English Premier League Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Liverpool
Ipswich Town
73.3%
10.0%
16.7%
-288
+713
-290
+725
2
0
-0.33193-0.32998-0.31126
Fulham
Manchester United
14.9%
64.8%
20.3%
+417
-150
+405
-156
0
1
-0.53806-0.53981-0.43464
Everton
Arsenal
8.0%
77.5%
14.4%
+1250
-447
+1200
-500
1
2
-0.21879-0.22086-0.25435
Tottenham
Sheffield United
67.7%
13.2%
19.1%
-279
+700
-297
+650
3
0
-0.33109-0.33205-0.39032
Fulham
Luton Town
50.2%
24.0%
25.7%
+120
+210
+120
+196
4
2
-0.81522-0.83298-0.68824
West Ham United
Manchester City
4.8%
84.7%
10.5%
+2800
-1300
+2750
-1750
1
3
-0.10340-0.10218-0.16596
Manchester United
Brighton and Hove Albion
30.7%
42.0%
27.4%
+143
+168
+190
+165
2
0
-0.91604-1.03911-1.18250
Wolverhampton
Liverpool
6.0%
81.2%
12.8%
+1553
-714
+1475
-750
0
2
-0.16214-0.16372-0.20838
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
20.9%
53.5%
25.6%
+135
+192
+130
+184
2
1
-0.88179-0.87849-1.56475
Bournemouth
Chelsea
9.1%
74.7%
16.3%
+598
-240
+575
-225
1
2
-0.38010-0.38815-0.29216
Newcastle United
Brentford
39.9%
32.3%
27.8%
+120
+202
+125
+200
4
2
-0.81876-0.83833-0.91889
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
29.3%
43.4%
27.3%
+379
-153
+370
-120
0
5
-0.53340-0.58539-0.83365
Newcastle United
Manchester United
23.7%
51.6%
24.6%
+141
+177
+140
+175
2
3
-1.03851-1.04957-0.66070
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
37.0%
34.3%
28.8%
+105
+244
+102
+235
2
1
-0.73432-0.74573-0.99550
Manchester City
Tottenham
55.4%
21.8%
22.8%
-251
+580
-280
+600
2
0
-0.35358-0.34432-0.59074
Liverpool
Aston Villa
53.7%
22.6%
23.7%
-126
+296
-128
+280
3
3
-1.56170-1.56715-1.43881
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.