English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arsenal
Aston Villa 		46.7%
27.6%		25.7%
-105
+325
-109
+330
1.50
1.10		2.60
o2¼-116
u2¼+103
o2½+115
u2½-135
Chelsea
Bournemouth 		41.6%
30.4%		27.9%
+116
+233
+115
+215
1.28
1.05		2.33
o2¾-120
u3-114
o2½-150
u3-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Nottingham Forest
Everton 		24.4%
49.6%		26.0%
+265
+122
+266
+120
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2¼-110
u2¼-102
o2½+125
u2½-140
Burnley
Newcastle United 		9.2%
74.4%		16.4%
+1050
-350
+915
-370
0.69
2.33		3.02
o3-102
u3-114
o3-105
u3-115
Sunderland
Manchester City 		7.3%
78.8%		13.8%
+1100
-405
+1060
-425
0.68
2.61		3.29
o3-120
u3¼-122
o3-125
u3+110
Brentford
Tottenham 		22.9%
53.4%		23.7%
+207
+135
+204
+130
1.05
1.73		2.78
o2½-115
u2½+102
o2½-120
u2½+100
Liverpool
Leeds United 		67.2%
14.0%		18.8%
-112
+316
-110
+313
2.22
0.91		3.13
o2¾-113
u2¾+102
o2½-145
u3-130
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Wolverhampton
Sunderland		24.5%
49.0%		26.5%
+222
+151
+212
+155
0
2		-0.95337-0.97172-0.71408
Leeds United
Burnley		34.1%
37.8%		28.0%
+122
+262
+125
+245
0
2		-1.32028-1.27949-0.97180
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace		25.7%
47.4%		26.8%
+272
+118
+240
+120
3
3		-1.24309-1.25506-1.31565
Everton
Manchester City		10.1%
73.6%		16.3%
+800
-229
+720
-235
0
2		-0.38845-0.38582-0.30613
Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion		26.9%
46.5%		26.6%
+150
+193
+150
+194
1
2		-1.10084-1.10473-0.76591
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest		43.2%
28.7%		28.1%
+133
+245
+125
+265
3
0		-0.84269-0.79955-0.83817
Manchester City
Brentford		55.4%
20.9%		23.7%
-155
+428
-162
+420
1
0		-0.52460-0.51795-0.59086
Crystal Palace
Everton		31.9%
40.0%		28.1%
+188
+172
+190
+155
1
2		-1.02859-0.97979-0.91749
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wolverhampton		46.4%
26.3%		27.3%
+112
+257
+110
+279
1
1		-1.29990-1.30262-1.29865
Burnley
Aston Villa		8.4%
76.3%		15.3%
+535
-175
+540
-180
1
2		-0.48452-0.47836-0.27094
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle United		18.9%
57.2%		23.8%
+522
-188
+520
-185
0
2		-0.46072-0.46188-0.55814
Liverpool
Chelsea		40.0%
32.5%		27.5%
+140
+195
+130
+198
1
2		-1.10250-1.12964-1.12384
West Ham United
Arsenal		5.7%
82.7%		11.6%
+1600
-546
+1700
-510
0
2		-0.19603-0.20032-0.18947
Sunderland
Manchester United		10.3%
72.9%		16.8%
+440
-157
+500
-160
0
2		-0.52212-0.48734-0.31582
Tottenham
Leeds United		41.4%
32.7%		25.8%
+160
+180
+160
+175
2
1		-0.98663-0.99536-0.88083
Fulham
Bournemouth		22.2%
53.1%		24.7%
+328
-103
+322
-110
1
3		-0.69712-0.68822-0.63335
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.68378 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.66400 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.75933
-0.07555
-0.09533

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.