Chelsea at Arsenal

Updated

Chelsea

20.3%23.2%56.5%
Chelsea WinDrawArsenal Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.78
1Final Score 3

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Brentford-135
L 2-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+190
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton-130
T 0-0 vs Liverpool+110
L 2-0 vs Aston Villa-165
Arsenal
Money Line
L 1-4 at Manchester City+425
T 3-3 vs Southampton-525
T 2-2 at West Ham United-165
T 2-2 at Liverpool+160
W 1-4 vs Leeds United-370

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+385+459+420+448+458+448+459+467.6
Arsenal-138-164-170-158-159-158-158-144.6
Draw+295+317+330+315+335+315+335+329.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+380-+465-+465+500+500+467.6
Arsenal-140--175--225-180-175-144.6
Draw+290-+328-+290+315+328+329.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +455 to +448
Arsenal ML moved from -185 to -191

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +530 to +465
Arsenal ML moved from -195 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-134o2¾-105o2¾+101o2½-131o2¾+101o2½-131o2¾+108
Underu2½+104u2½+114u2¾-115u2¾-117u2½+111u2¾-117u2¾-115u2¾-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-140o2½-135-o3+115o2½-140o2½-135o2¾+108
Underu2½+105u2½+120u2½+115-u3-145u2½+120u3-145u2¾-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.41%
Exactly 224.19%
Exactly 415.22%
Exactly 63.83%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.60%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 58.36%
Exactly 71.50%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 038.00%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.79%
Exactly 35.74%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 016.86%
Exactly 130.01%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 315.86%
Exactly 47.06%
Exactly 52.51%
Exactly 60.75%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.02%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 39.62%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 063.89%
Exactly 128.62%
Exactly 26.41%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 043.85%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 214.90%
Exactly 34.09%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals6.95%
Wins by 3+ goals1.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals31.95%
Wins by 3+ goals14.55%
Wins by 4+ goals5.44%
Wins by 5+ goals1.69%
Wins by 6+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Arsenal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal13.31%
Wins by 2 goals5.13%
Wins by 3 goals1.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal24.49%
Wins by 2 goals17.39%
Wins by 3 goals9.11%
Wins by 4 goals3.75%
Wins by 5 goals1.26%
Wins by 6 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.59%6.41%
1.575.99%24.01%
2.551.81%48.19%
3.529.65%70.35%
4.514.43%85.57%
5.56.07%93.93%
6.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.00%38.00%
1.525.23%74.77%
2.57.44%92.56%
3.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.14%16.86%
1.553.13%46.87%
2.526.42%73.58%
3.510.56%89.44%
4.53.50%96.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.98%28.02%
1.536.33%63.67%
2.513.66%86.34%
3.54.04%95.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Arsenal
Score012345
0
6.41%
11.41%
10.15%
6.03%
2.68%
0.96%
1
6.20%
11.03%
9.82%
5.83%
2.60%
0.92%
2
3.00%
5.34%
4.75%
2.82%
1.26%
0.45%
3
0.97%
1.72%
1.53%
0.91%
0.40%
0.14%
4
0.23%
0.42%
0.37%
0.22%
0.10%
0.03%
Chelsea
1-06.20%
2-03.00%
2-15.34%
3-00.97%
3-11.72%
3-21.53%
4-00.23%
4-10.42%
4-20.37%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.41%
1-111.03%
2-24.75%
3-30.91%
Arsenal
0-111.41%
0-210.15%
1-29.82%
0-36.03%
1-35.83%
2-32.82%
0-42.68%
1-42.60%
2-41.26%
3-40.40%
0-50.96%
1-50.92%
2-50.45%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Arsenal
Score01234
0
28.02%
23.10%
9.52%
2.62%
0.54%
1
12.55%
10.35%
4.26%
1.17%
0.24%
2
2.81%
2.32%
0.96%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.42%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Chelsea
1-012.55%
2-02.81%
2-12.32%
3-00.42%
3-10.35%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-028.02%
1-110.35%
2-20.96%
Arsenal
0-123.10%
0-29.52%
1-24.26%
0-32.62%
1-31.17%
2-30.26%
0-40.54%
1-40.24%