Arsenal at Manchester City

Updated

Arsenal

23.1%24.6%52.2%
Arsenal WinDrawManchester City Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.64
1Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Bournemouth-225
W 0-2 vs Everton-265
W 1-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion-155
W 1-2 vs Chelsea-180
W 4-1 at Tottenham-220
Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-0 at Chelsea-109
T 1-1 at West Ham United-156
T 2-2 vs Nottingham Forest-255
W 1-0 at Leeds United-141
W 1-2 vs Newcastle United-190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+320+350+335+335+328+328+350+342.7
Manchester City-119-119-122-113-113-113-113-105.3
Draw+270+260+265+265+270+270+270+282.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+320-+321+320+325+350+350+342.7
Manchester City-115--108-125-130-120-108-105.3
Draw+260-+250+250+245+265+265+282.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +335 to +328
Manchester City ML moved from -110 to -116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +328 to +322
Manchester City ML moved from -125 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-105o2½-112o2½-103o2½-103o2½-103o2½-103o2½+105
Underu2½+100u2½-105u2½-108u2½-113u2½-113u2½-113u2½-105u2½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-115o2½-105o2½-115o2½-110o2½-105o2½-105o2½+105
Underu2½-110u2½-105u2½-115u2½-105u2½-120u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.17%
Exactly 224.89%
Exactly 414.41%
Exactly 63.34%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.89%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 57.60%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 036.79%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.39%
Exactly 36.13%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 019.48%
Exactly 131.86%
Exactly 226.06%
Exactly 314.21%
Exactly 45.81%
Exactly 51.90%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.51%
Exactly 221.98%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 38.94%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 062.94%
Exactly 129.14%
Exactly 26.75%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 046.89%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 213.45%
Exactly 33.40%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals8.20%
Wins by 3+ goals2.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals27.89%
Wins by 3+ goals11.88%
Wins by 4+ goals4.13%
Wins by 5+ goals1.19%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal14.86%
Wins by 2 goals5.98%
Wins by 3 goals1.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.31%
Wins by 2 goals16.01%
Wins by 3 goals7.75%
Wins by 4 goals2.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.91%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.83%7.17%
1.573.94%26.06%
2.549.05%50.95%
3.527.18%72.82%
4.512.77%87.23%
5.55.17%94.83%
6.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.21%36.79%
1.526.42%73.58%
2.58.03%91.97%
3.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.52%19.48%
1.548.66%51.34%
2.522.59%77.41%
3.58.38%91.62%
4.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.49%29.51%
1.534.47%65.53%
2.512.50%87.50%
3.53.56%96.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Manchester City
Score012345
0
7.17%
11.72%
9.59%
5.23%
2.14%
0.70%
1
7.17%
11.72%
9.59%
5.23%
2.14%
0.70%
2
3.58%
5.86%
4.79%
2.61%
1.07%
0.35%
3
1.19%
1.95%
1.60%
0.87%
0.36%
0.12%
4
0.30%
0.49%
0.40%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
Arsenal
1-07.17%
2-03.58%
2-15.86%
3-01.19%
3-11.95%
3-21.60%
4-00.30%
4-10.49%
4-20.40%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-07.17%
1-111.72%
2-24.79%
3-30.87%
Manchester City
0-111.72%
0-29.59%
1-29.59%
0-35.23%
1-35.23%
2-32.61%
0-42.14%
1-42.14%
2-41.07%
3-40.36%
0-50.70%
1-50.70%
2-50.35%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Manchester City
Score01234
0
29.51%
22.35%
8.46%
2.14%
0.40%
1
13.66%
10.35%
3.92%
0.99%
0.19%
2
3.16%
2.40%
0.91%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.49%
0.37%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Arsenal
1-013.66%
2-03.16%
2-12.40%
3-00.49%
3-10.37%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-029.51%
1-110.35%
2-20.91%
Manchester City
0-122.35%
0-28.46%
1-23.92%
0-32.14%
1-30.99%
2-30.23%
0-40.40%
1-40.19%