Manchester City at Brighton

Updated

Manchester City

66.9%19.5%13.6%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.11Projected Goals 0.83
4Final Score 0

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Luton Town-1200
W 4-2 at Crystal Palace-310
W 1-4 vs Aston Villa-450
T 0-0 vs Arsenal+105
T 1-1 at Liverpool+100
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 1-1 at Burnley+100
L 3-0 vs Arsenal+550
T 0-0 at Brentford+175
L 1-2 at Liverpool+800
W 0-1 vs Nottingham Forest-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-203-271-300-277-296-277-271-244.6
Brighton+513+678+675+700+727+700+727+728.1
Draw+384+453+440+470+476+470+476+490.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-240--297-320-340-320-297-244.6
Brighton+555-+665+600+600+720+720+728.1
Draw+400-+475+415+375+490+490+490.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -285 to -292
Brighton ML moved from +710 to +700

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -310 to -320
Brighton ML moved from +715 to +665

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3½-104o3¼-118o3¼-122o3½+100o3¼-122o3¼-118o3¼-113
Underu3½-135u3½-114u3¼-102u3¼+106u3½-120u3¼+106u3½-114u3¼+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3½+105o3½+100o3½+100o3-135o3½+100o3-135o3¼-113
Underu3½-135u3½-125u3½-120u3½-120u3+105u3½-120u3½-120u3¼+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-115 to o3½-102
The Under moved from u3½-120 to u3¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+110
The Under moved from u3½-145 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.30%
Exactly 222.86%
Exactly 416.45%
Exactly 64.73%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.56%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.66%
Exactly 71.99%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 012.12%
Exactly 125.58%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 318.98%
Exactly 410.01%
Exactly 54.23%
Exactly 61.49%
Exactly 70.45%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 043.69%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 214.98%
Exactly 34.13%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.66%
Exactly 223.74%
Exactly 43.66%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 310.77%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 037.64%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.97%
Exactly 35.85%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 068.16%
Exactly 126.13%
Exactly 25.01%
Exactly 30.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals42.68%
Wins by 3+ goals22.34%
Wins by 4+ goals9.72%
Wins by 5+ goals3.58%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals4.05%
Wins by 3+ goals0.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.23%
Wins by 2 goals20.35%
Wins by 3 goals12.62%
Wins by 4 goals6.15%
Wins by 5 goals2.46%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal9.51%
Wins by 2 goals3.13%
Wins by 3 goals0.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.70%5.30%
1.579.14%20.86%
2.556.28%43.72%
3.533.89%66.11%
4.517.45%82.55%
5.57.78%92.22%
6.53.05%96.95%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.88%12.12%
1.562.30%37.70%
2.535.31%64.69%
3.516.33%83.67%
4.56.31%93.69%
5.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.31%43.69%
1.520.13%79.87%
2.55.15%94.85%
3.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.34%25.66%
1.539.44%60.56%
2.515.70%84.30%
3.54.94%95.06%
4.51.27%98.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
5.30%
4.39%
1.82%
0.50%
0.10%
1
11.18%
9.25%
3.83%
1.06%
0.22%
2
11.79%
9.76%
4.04%
1.12%
0.23%
3
8.29%
6.87%
2.84%
0.78%
0.16%
4
4.38%
3.62%
1.50%
0.41%
0.09%
5
1.85%
1.53%
0.63%
0.17%
0.04%
Manchester City
1-011.18%
2-011.79%
2-19.76%
3-08.29%
3-16.87%
3-22.84%
4-04.38%
4-13.62%
4-21.50%
4-30.41%
5-01.85%
5-11.53%
5-20.63%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.30%
1-19.25%
2-24.04%
3-30.78%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-14.39%
0-21.82%
1-23.83%
0-30.50%
1-31.06%
2-31.12%
0-40.10%
1-40.22%
2-40.23%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
25.66%
9.84%
1.89%
0.24%
1
25.07%
9.61%
1.84%
0.24%
2
12.25%
4.69%
0.90%
0.11%
3
3.99%
1.53%
0.29%
0.04%
4
0.97%
0.37%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-025.07%
2-012.25%
2-14.69%
3-03.99%
3-11.53%
3-20.29%
4-00.97%
4-10.37%
5-00.19%
Draw
0-025.66%
1-19.61%
2-20.90%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-19.84%
0-21.89%
1-21.84%
0-30.24%
1-30.24%
2-30.11%