Aston Villa at Burnley

Updated

Aston Villa

58.5%23.4%18.1%
Aston Villa WinDrawWin
1.75Projected Goals 0.85
2Final Score 2

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Tottenham+130
L 0-1 at Fulham+170
W 3-4 vs Sunderland-138
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+205
W 0-2 vs West Ham United-125
Burnley
Money Line
L 1-3 at Leeds United+730
L 1-0 vs Manchester City+2000
L 1-4 at Nottingham Forest+650
L 2-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+450
L 1-3 at Fulham+530

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa-177-200-199-192-192-192-192-174.4
Burnley+430+520+525+550+550+550+550+572.5
Draw+340+350+340+348+348+348+350+363.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa-175--200-200-190-170-170-174.4
Burnley+435-+550+350+415+425+550+572.5
Draw+340-+340+300+330+330+340+363.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from -199 to -205
Burnley ML moved from +540 to +500

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 30.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from -171 to -200
Burnley ML moved from +435 to +425

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2¾-106o2¾-112o2½-135o2½-135o2½-135o2½-135o2½-126
Underu2¾-110u2¾-104u2¾-108u2½+119u2½+119u2½+119u2¾-104u2½+126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-130o2½-130o2½-125o2½-140o2½-135o2½-125o2½-126
Underu2½+120u2½+110u2½+110u2½+105u2½+110u2½+115u2½+115u2½+126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-112 to u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.44%
Exactly 225.11%
Exactly 414.13%
Exactly 63.18%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.33%
Exactly 321.75%
Exactly 57.35%
Exactly 71.18%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 017.45%
Exactly 130.47%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 315.47%
Exactly 46.75%
Exactly 52.36%
Exactly 60.69%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 042.61%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.50%
Exactly 34.41%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.02%
Exactly 221.73%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 38.72%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 044.56%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 214.56%
Exactly 33.92%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 067.37%
Exactly 126.61%
Exactly 25.25%
Exactly 30.69%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals33.12%
Wins by 3+ goals15.00%
Wins by 4+ goals5.56%
Wins by 5+ goals1.71%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals5.66%
Wins by 3+ goals1.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal25.37%
Wins by 2 goals18.11%
Wins by 3 goals9.45%
Wins by 4 goals3.85%
Wins by 5 goals1.28%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal12.40%
Wins by 2 goals4.32%
Wins by 3 goals1.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.56%7.44%
1.573.24%26.76%
2.548.13%51.87%
3.526.37%73.63%
4.512.24%87.76%
5.54.89%95.11%
6.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.55%17.45%
1.552.08%47.92%
2.525.49%74.51%
3.510.01%89.99%
4.53.26%96.74%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.39%42.61%
1.521.04%78.96%
2.55.53%94.47%
3.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.98%30.02%
1.533.85%66.15%
2.512.12%87.88%
3.53.40%96.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Burnley
Score01234
0
7.44%
6.34%
2.71%
0.77%
0.16%
1
12.98%
11.07%
4.72%
1.34%
0.29%
2
11.33%
9.67%
4.12%
1.17%
0.25%
3
6.59%
5.62%
2.40%
0.68%
0.15%
4
2.88%
2.45%
1.05%
0.30%
0.06%
5
1.00%
0.86%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
Aston Villa
1-012.98%
2-011.33%
2-19.67%
3-06.59%
3-15.62%
3-22.40%
4-02.88%
4-12.45%
4-21.05%
4-30.30%
5-01.00%
5-10.86%
5-20.37%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.44%
1-111.07%
2-24.12%
3-30.68%
Burnley
0-16.34%
0-22.71%
1-24.72%
0-30.77%
1-31.34%
2-31.17%
0-40.16%
1-40.29%
2-40.25%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Burnley
Score0123
0
30.02%
11.86%
2.34%
0.31%
1
24.27%
9.58%
1.89%
0.25%
2
9.81%
3.87%
0.76%
0.10%
3
2.64%
1.04%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.53%
0.21%
0.04%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-024.27%
2-09.81%
2-13.87%
3-02.64%
3-11.04%
3-20.21%
4-00.53%
4-10.21%
Draw
0-030.02%
1-19.58%
2-20.76%
Burnley
0-111.86%
0-22.34%
1-21.89%
0-30.31%
1-30.25%
2-30.10%