Manchester City at Burnley

Updated

Manchester City

79.8%14.0%6.2%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.48Projected Goals 0.55
1Final Score 0

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Arsenal-108
W 3-0 at Chelsea-109
T 1-1 at West Ham United-156
T 2-2 vs Nottingham Forest-255
W 1-0 at Leeds United-141
Burnley
Money Line
L 1-4 at Nottingham Forest+650
L 2-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+450
L 1-3 at Fulham+530
T 0-0 vs Bournemouth+325
L 0-2 at Everton+495

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-400-769-675-672-672-672-672-530.0
Burnley+1100+1900+1400+1550+1550+1550+1900+1607.3
Draw+550+800+725+865+865+865+865+898.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-650--690---850-690-530.0
Burnley+1400-+1475--+2000+2000+1607.3
Draw+750-+810--+825+825+898.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Burnley: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -769 to -833
Burnley ML moved from +1900 to +1850

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Burnley: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -900 to -950
Burnley ML moved from +2500 to +2000

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+104o3½-105o3½-110o3½-110o3½-110o3½-110o3½-105o3½-102
Underu3½-120u3½-108u3½-110u3½-106u3½-106u3½-106u3½-106u3½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½-110o3½-110o3½-115o3½-125o3½-110o3½-110o3½-102
Underu3½-115u3½-110u3½-110u3½-105u3½-105u3½-110u3½-105u3½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.6%
 
No61.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.82%
Exactly 222.17%
Exactly 416.98%
Exactly 65.20%
Exactly 80.85%
 
Exactly 114.62%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.29%
Exactly 72.25%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 08.33%
Exactly 120.70%
Exactly 225.73%
Exactly 321.31%
Exactly 413.24%
Exactly 56.58%
Exactly 62.73%
Exactly 70.97%
Exactly 80.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 057.90%
Exactly 131.64%
Exactly 28.64%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.57%
Exactly 224.20%
Exactly 43.97%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.49%
Exactly 311.32%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 031.64%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 220.95%
Exactly 38.03%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 077.65%
Exactly 119.64%
Exactly 22.48%
Exactly 30.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals57.54%
Wins by 3+ goals34.65%
Wins by 4+ goals17.50%
Wins by 5+ goals7.50%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals1.29%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal22.19%
Wins by 2 goals22.89%
Wins by 3 goals17.14%
Wins by 4 goals10.00%
Wins by 5 goals4.76%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal4.88%
Wins by 2 goals1.10%
Wins by 3 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.18%4.82%
1.580.55%19.45%
2.558.39%41.61%
3.535.99%64.01%
4.519.01%80.99%
5.58.71%91.29%
6.53.51%96.49%
7.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.67%8.33%
1.570.97%29.03%
2.545.24%54.76%
3.523.93%76.07%
4.510.69%89.31%
5.54.10%95.90%
6.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.10%57.90%
1.510.46%89.54%
2.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.43%24.57%
1.540.94%59.06%
2.516.74%83.26%
3.55.41%94.59%
4.51.44%98.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Burnley
Score0123
0
4.82%
2.64%
0.72%
0.13%
1
11.99%
6.55%
1.79%
0.33%
2
14.90%
8.14%
2.22%
0.41%
3
12.34%
6.74%
1.84%
0.34%
4
7.67%
4.19%
1.14%
0.21%
5
3.81%
2.08%
0.57%
0.10%
Manchester City
1-011.99%
2-014.90%
2-18.14%
3-012.34%
3-16.74%
3-21.84%
4-07.67%
4-14.19%
4-21.14%
4-30.21%
5-03.81%
5-12.08%
5-20.57%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-04.82%
1-16.55%
2-22.22%
3-30.34%
Burnley
0-12.64%
0-20.72%
1-21.79%
0-30.13%
1-30.33%
2-30.41%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Burnley
Score012
0
24.57%
6.22%
0.79%
1
28.27%
7.15%
0.90%
2
16.27%
4.11%
0.52%
3
6.24%
1.58%
0.20%
4
1.79%
0.45%
0.06%
5
0.41%
0.10%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-028.27%
2-016.27%
2-14.11%
3-06.24%
3-11.58%
3-20.20%
4-01.79%
4-10.45%
5-00.41%
5-10.10%
Draw
0-024.57%
1-17.15%
2-20.52%
Burnley
0-16.22%
0-20.79%
1-20.90%