France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 17, 2025
Games for Dec 19, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Monaco
Marseille		38.6%
34.6%		26.8%
+270
+106
+250
+110
0
1		-0.74693-0.76336-1.06259
Nice
Lens		23.7%
50.7%		25.5%
+460
-169
+475
-188
0
2		-0.49344-0.46965-0.67830
Lille
Auxerre		36.5%
35.1%		28.4%
-106
+340
+100
+315
4
3		-0.69565-0.72764-1.00898
Lorient
Strasbourg		16.3%
62.8%		20.8%
+360
-122
+355
-126
0
0		-1.36465-1.36477-1.56926
Le Havre
Lyon		6.4%
80.2%		13.3%
+465
-156
+442
-155
0
1		-0.52513-0.54233-0.22035
Toulouse
Paris FC		35.6%
35.7%		28.7%
+180
+182
+175
+175
3
0		-1.05550-1.05248-1.03260
Paris Saint-Germain
Metz		78.3%
7.5%		14.2%
-400
+980
-430
+1025
3
2		-0.25798-0.25126-0.24455
Brest
Rennes		27.5%
46.8%		25.7%
+329
-114
+310
-120
1
3		-0.65500-0.65406-0.75912
Nantes
Angers		15.7%
63.2%		21.1%
+285
+117
+270
+115
1
4		-0.80260-0.80406-0.45901
Lyon
Lorient		47.7%
27.3%		25.0%
+109
+280
+110
+280
0
1		-1.36520-1.36379-1.29803
Metz
Auxerre		21.5%
54.2%		24.2%
+295
+106
+295
-102
1
3		-0.74672-0.72619-0.61229
Paris FC
Le Havre		35.6%
33.6%		30.8%
+166
+192
+165
+177
0
0		-1.19359-1.22584-1.17928
Angers
Nice		20.4%
55.6%		23.9%
+370
-128
+325
-115
1
0		-1.58221-1.49086-1.58733
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+820
-330
+800
-350
0
5		-0.29897-0.29316-0.16643
Strasbourg
Toulouse		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+186
+164
+180
+160
0
1		-0.99997-0.99932-0.87996
Lens
Nantes		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-142
+430
-140
+415
2
1		-0.55345-0.57428-0.68001
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.