France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Monaco
Brest 		48.0%
27.3%		24.7%
+107
+245
-105
+260
1.61
1.15		2.76
o3-112
u3+101
o3-115
u3-105
Marseille
Lille 		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+200
+144
+187
+140
1.03
1.47		2.50
o2¾-103
u2¾-108
o2½-125
u2½+110
Games for Dec 4, 2025
Games for Dec 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nantes
Lyon		13.7%
67.3%		19.0%
+730
-248
+650
-240
0
3		-0.37331-0.39475-0.39583
Nice
Lorient		43.5%
29.4%		27.1%
+201
+141
+200
+140
1
3		-0.91437-0.91454-1.22299
Lille
Le Havre		62.4%
15.1%		22.5%
-123
+365
-125
+350
1
0		-0.62773-0.63264-0.47217
Lens
Angers		36.5%
35.3%		28.2%
-143
+440
-136
+425
2
1		-0.56637-0.58066-1.00778
Brest
Strasbourg		35.2%
37.1%		27.7%
+360
-128
+355
-127
2
1		-1.55941-1.55018-1.04481
Toulouse
Marseille		20.9%
55.7%		23.3%
+455
-157
+430
-155
2
2		-1.44906-1.42221-1.45624
Auxerre
Paris FC		30.9%
41.1%		28.0%
+342
-115
+310
-110
1
1		-1.32720-1.32543-1.27465
Paris Saint-Germain
Monaco		48.1%
27.2%		24.7%
-147
+365
-150
+360
0
1		-1.57118-1.56830-1.30063
Rennes
Metz		35.9%
35.7%		28.4%
-105
+272
+103
+250
1
0		-0.70453-0.75205-1.02544
Paris FC
Lille		14.0%
65.0%		20.9%
+410
-148
+385
-140
2
4		-0.54948-0.57478-0.43004
Lorient
Nantes		20.5%
56.1%		23.4%
+144
+205
+143
+200
1
1		-1.25513-1.25141-1.45350
Angers
Toulouse		13.0%
68.3%		18.7%
+490
-147
+450
-150
1
0		-1.80576-1.75210-2.04346
Metz
Brest		17.0%
61.2%		21.8%
+365
-121
+352
-130
2
3		-0.62642-0.61897-0.49075
Lyon
Auxerre		40.7%
32.7%		26.6%
+100
+315
+105
+275
0
0		-1.27083-1.29218-1.32471
Le Havre
Paris Saint-Germain		2.1%
91.1%		6.8%
+1200
-455
+1200
-500
0
3		-0.23369-0.22498-0.09337
Monaco
Rennes		49.5%
26.1%		24.4%
+179
+147
+165
+150
1
4		-0.93935-0.96635-1.34201
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.