German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Dortmund
FC Koln 		59.9%
19.7%		20.4%
-116
+324
-125
+325
2.14
1.15		3.29
o3+105
u3-115
o3+120
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg 		46.4%
29.4%		24.2%
+140
+220
+135
+200
2.92
o2½-135
u2¾-104
o2½-120
u2½+118
1st H
45:00		2
2
Augsburg
RB Leipzig 		12.2%
70.9%		16.8%
+720
-255
+560
-245
3.37
o3¼-122
u3½-114
o3½+105
u3½-110
1st H
45:00		1
0
Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg 		31.2%
44.5%		24.3%
+185
+164
+185
+150
2.93
o2½-115
u2¾-121
o2½-130
u2½+115
1st H
45:00		1
1
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05 		44.1%
30.5%		25.4%
+100
+275
-110
+280
2.71
o3-110
u3+101
o3-115
u3+100
TIME
HALF		0
1
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim 		58.1%
20.2%		21.8%
-182
+490
-195
+500
3.00
o3¼-106
u3¼-103
o3-130
u3½-135
1st H
45:00		2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Eintracht Frankfurt
Werder Bremen		35.8%
39.0%		25.2%
+198
+133
+195
+130
0
2		-0.87681-0.87601-0.94266
Holstein Kiel
Mainz 05		7.8%
79.7%		12.5%
+645
-227
+610
-225
1
1		-1.63748-1.65805-2.08000
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Heidenheim		69.3%
13.0%		17.6%
-190
+527
-215
+550
1
0		-0.45213-0.43209-0.36641
Dortmund
Freiburg		39.5%
35.0%		25.5%
+115
+235
+115
+220
4
1		-0.79951-0.81577-0.92933
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig		15.5%
66.1%		18.4%
+392
-145
+400
-155
1
3		-0.54971-0.53236-0.41340
VfB Stuttgart
VfL Bochum		55.3%
22.5%		22.2%
+183
+155
+179
+195
4
0		-1.06557-1.00493-0.59167
Bayern Munich
Augsburg		78.3%
8.4%		13.3%
-249
+750
-245
+675
3
1		-0.36077-0.38072-0.24434
Mainz 05
Dortmund		21.1%
57.6%		21.2%
+406
-150
+410
-158
1
3		-0.54321-0.53590-0.55156
Union Berlin
Freiburg		21.5%
55.4%		23.0%
+318
-101
+311
-105
2
1		-1.45740-1.45380-1.53702
VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt		36.0%
38.6%		25.3%
+163
+157
+160
+155
0
1		-0.97522-0.97862-0.95068
Augsburg
Hoffenheim		23.3%
54.4%		22.3%
+216
+140
+205
+135
1
1		-1.24852-1.27022-1.50215
RB Leipzig
Borussia Monchengladbach		37.8%
36.6%		25.6%
+143
+190
+135
+195
0
1		-1.09097-1.11957-1.00548
Werder Bremen
Holstein Kiel		44.5%
31.3%		24.2%
+122
+217
+120
+215
3
0		-0.82888-0.82986-0.80995
FC Heidenheim
Wolfsburg		18.5%
60.1%		21.4%
+410
-145
+380
-145
1
0		-1.66347-1.61757-1.68626
FC St. Pauli
Bayern Munich		3.5%
89.2%		7.3%
+2200
-785
+2475
-870
2
3		-0.15503-0.14952-0.11446
VfL Bochum
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		4.9%
85.6%		9.5%
+1250
-424
+1200
-450
1
3		-0.23458-0.24197-0.15538
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.24501 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.21573 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.12341
0.12160
0.09232

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.