German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC St. Pauli 		43.3%
33.3%		23.4%
+164
+187
+150
+190
1.69
1.47		3.16
o2½+105
u2½-118
o2½+100
u2½-120
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin 		32.6%
41.3%		26.1%
+230
+131
+220
+130
1.22
1.41		2.63
o2¼-120
u2½-119
o2½+110
u2½-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayern Munich
VfB Stuttgart		58.5%
20.4%		21.1%
-136
+370
-145
+365
3
1		-0.57254-0.56321-0.53558
VfB Stuttgart
Hoffenheim		45.1%
30.6%		24.3%
+103
+253
+100
+250
1
1		-1.40238-1.40222-1.41527
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayern Munich		6.2%
83.0%		10.7%
+975
-374
+1025
-400
0
4		-0.26565-0.25538-0.18604
FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig		11.6%
71.7%		16.7%
+905
-305
+925
-340
2
2		-1.77537-1.79969-1.79030
Union Berlin
Dortmund		12.8%
69.9%		17.3%
+543
-193
+550
-210
0
6		-0.44412-0.43257-0.35812
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Holstein Kiel		76.7%
9.4%		13.9%
-470
+1450
-440
+1325
2
0		-0.21956-0.23031-0.26591
VfL Bochum
Wolfsburg		13.2%
69.1%		17.7%
+420
-158
+420
-165
1
1		-1.50778-1.51404-1.73228
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05		15.1%
66.5%		18.4%
+432
-132
+390
-130
0
2		-0.59437-0.61290-0.40827
Augsburg
Borussia Monchengladbach		22.3%
55.9%		21.8%
+310
-106
+320
-108
3
0		-1.43582-1.46959-1.50090
Werder Bremen
Freiburg		22.9%
54.4%		22.7%
+308
+102
+270
+105
0
5		-0.72470-0.76070-0.60952
Mainz 05
FC Heidenheim		43.0%
31.2%		25.8%
+107
+282
+115
+245
2
0		-0.76168-0.80932-0.84325
Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Frankfurt		9.4%
77.0%		13.6%
+775
-294
+775
-310
1
3		-0.32371-0.32149-0.26122
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen		28.0%
48.5%		23.5%
+313
-113
+310
-120
3
1		-1.44375-1.45573-1.27325
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		40.3%
34.3%		25.4%
+133
+208
+135
+205
0
0		-1.30390-1.28067-1.37093
Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart		16.8%
63.2%		19.9%
+470
-170
+430
-175
2
1		-1.76265-1.71297-1.78266
Dortmund
VfL Bochum		61.2%
18.7%		20.1%
-175
+480
-187
+475
0
2		-1.79036-1.79583-1.67879
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks63-1-2 (0.667)0-0.85407 
Sportsbooks63-1-2 (0.667)0-0.87401 
DRatings63-1-2 (0.667)0-0.89270
-0.03863
-0.01868

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.