German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 13, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Monchengladbach 		21.0%
58.0%		21.0%
+322
+102

1.17
2.07		3.24
o2¼-103
u2¼-105

Games for Mar 12, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Augsburg
Werder Bremen		24.0%
53.1%		22.9%
+299
-107
+305
-115
2
0		-1.41404-1.44604-1.42666
Mainz 05
Union Berlin		26.5%
48.8%		24.7%
+167
+193
+175
+180
1
2		-1.09368-1.06714-0.71660
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		9.8%
76.0%		14.2%
+1025
-374
+1050
-415
1
3		-0.27174-0.26147-0.27433
RB Leipzig
VfL Bochum		53.6%
23.6%		22.8%
+121
+236
+110
+260
3
3		-1.29211-1.35197-1.47841
Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich		5.6%
83.9%		10.6%
+1699
-630
+1600
-665
2
3		-0.17484-0.18161-0.17599
FC St. Pauli
FC Heidenheim		22.3%
55.2%		22.5%
+209
+141
+205
+130
2
0		-1.15620-1.16632-1.50049
Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel		43.9%
32.0%		24.2%
+145
+197
+135
+190
3
1		-0.92543-0.89997-0.82419
Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart		27.6%
48.0%		24.4%
+447
-168
+460
-185
0
4		-0.49842-0.48085-0.73401
Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt		32.8%
43.0%		24.2%
+153
+185
+150
+165
0
2		-1.07324-1.02460-0.84344
FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen		21.0%
57.0%		22.0%
+365
-135
+360
-135
3
3		-1.44388-1.45543-1.51236
Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich		4.9%
85.9%		9.2%
+2200
-862
+2300
-1050
0
5		-0.14179-0.13180-0.15209
Augsburg
Union Berlin		22.3%
54.6%		23.2%
+270
+120
+280
+115
2
0		-1.32708-1.36583-1.50238
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart		34.0%
40.3%		25.7%
+267
+103
+260
+100
1
2		-0.72931-0.73326-0.90879
FC St. Pauli
VfL Bochum		27.3%
48.9%		23.7%
+197
+155
+185
+160
0
1		-0.97106-0.99777-0.71472
Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		25.1%
51.9%		23.0%
+378
-138
+380
-140
1
4		-0.56639-0.57684-0.65576
Mainz 05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		7.9%
79.2%		12.9%
+840
-265
+800
-300
0
1		-0.34034-0.33294-0.23260
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.