German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+290
+104
+315
-110
1.13
1.98		3.11
o2¼-109
u2¼-103
o2½+115
u2½-135
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-750
+1700
-850
+1700
3.26
0.68		3.94
o4+104
u4-119
o4+105
u4-125
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayern Munich
VfL Bochum		75.2%
10.0%		14.7%
-624
+1800
-800
+1700
5
0		-0.16305-0.16525-0.28459
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Werder Bremen		59.8%
19.6%		20.7%
-223
+590
-215
+520
2
2		-1.67590-1.65559-1.57683
Holstein Kiel
VfB Stuttgart		7.3%
80.8%		11.9%
+1200
-446
+1200
-480
1
2		-0.22818-0.22637-0.21295
Dortmund
Augsburg		43.3%
31.9%		24.7%
-121
+320
-125
+315
1
2		-1.45848-1.46508-1.14144
Freiburg
RB Leipzig		12.4%
70.5%		17.1%
+342
-123
+315
-125
1
3		-0.61646-0.63626-0.34954
Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli		36.7%
37.0%		26.3%
+186
+160
+190
+149
0
0		-1.27257-1.27400-1.33644
Borussia Monchengladbach
Mainz 05		29.2%
46.7%		24.1%
+200
+129
+210
+130
1
1		-1.37737-1.35530-1.42416
Werder Bremen
Wolfsburg		27.6%
48.1%		24.3%
+267
+104
+250
+105
4
2		-1.32238-1.29916-1.28772
Union Berlin
Holstein Kiel		52.0%
24.7%		23.3%
+107
+282
+115
+270
2
0		-0.75377-0.79454-0.65462
VfB Stuttgart
Bayern Munich		11.2%
73.2%		15.6%
+880
-315
+820
-325
0
4		-0.29169-0.30238-0.31258
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		13.1%
70.1%		16.8%
+555
-207
+535
-215
1
2		-0.42071-0.41740-0.35568
VfL Bochum
Hoffenheim		22.2%
56.1%		21.7%
+460
-185
+470
-180
1
3		-0.45194-0.46194-0.57778
FC Heidenheim
Borussia Monchengladbach		20.8%
57.6%		21.6%
+298
-107
+305
-115
2
3		-0.68417-0.66641-0.55121
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05		49.7%
26.4%		23.9%
-113
+315
-115
+300
2
0		-0.65516-0.66680-0.69945
Augsburg
Freiburg		22.7%
54.5%		22.8%
+450
-150
+450
-155
1
3		-0.53055-0.53375-0.60629
FC St. Pauli
Dortmund		9.0%
77.5%		13.5%
+1000
-345
+960
-350
1
2		-0.29015-0.28936-0.25532
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.22770 
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.23552 
DRatings60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.36501
-0.13731
-0.12948

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.