German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+295
+105
+295
+100
1.13
1.98		3.11
o2¼-110
u2¼-102
o2½+115
u2½-135
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-714
+1800
-850
+1700
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3¾-110
u3¾-104
o3½-135
u4-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Eintracht Frankfurt
Wolfsburg		35.4%
38.8%		25.8%
+166
+179
+160
+176
2
1		-0.99039-0.98763-1.03832
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig		15.4%
65.0%		19.6%
+565
-207
+590
-225
0
0		-1.60107-1.62146-1.62995
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Monchengladbach		42.4%
32.8%		24.8%
+145
+174
+135
+175
3
1		-0.92521-0.89774-0.85840
FC Heidenheim
Dortmund		9.5%
76.0%		14.4%
+770
-285
+755
-280
2
4		-0.32945-0.33272-0.27413
Freiburg
Bayern Munich		4.5%
86.2%		9.2%
+1400
-500
+1190
-550
0
2		-0.20404-0.21311-0.14836
Augsburg
FC Heidenheim		35.3%
38.1%		26.6%
+200
+145
+185
+144
0
4		-0.91902-0.93736-0.96556
RB Leipzig
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		22.2%
55.7%		22.1%
+400
-151
+365
-150
3
2		-1.62826-1.58440-1.50666
Wolfsburg
Holstein Kiel		36.6%
37.4%		26.0%
+135
+203
+135
+200
2
0		-0.87640-0.89040-1.00608
Borussia Monchengladbach
VfL Bochum		29.8%
46.1%		24.1%
+140
+190
+145
+181
2
0		-0.89321-0.92359-1.21160
Dortmund
Werder Bremen		45.7%
30.3%		24.0%
-107
+285
-110
+265
0
0		-1.40499-1.42912-1.42895
Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart		22.0%
55.9%		22.1%
+420
-148
+410
-160
3
3		-1.49785-1.49263-1.50919
Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt		19.9%
59.8%		20.3%
+375
-148
+365
-145
1
3		-0.54531-0.56065-0.51420
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin		12.1%
70.8%		17.1%
+335
-105
+310
-110
0
1		-0.69645-0.69866-0.34599
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli		27.5%
48.1%		24.4%
+305
+100
+280
+105
2
0		-1.42312-1.37101-1.29215
Bayern Munich
Wolfsburg		68.3%
13.8%		17.8%
-195
+543
-200
+535
3
2		-0.42278-0.44172-0.38108
Eintracht Frankfurt
Dortmund		20.3%
59.5%		20.2%
+352
-128
+315
-130
0
2		-0.59675-0.61278-0.51985
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.22770 
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.23552 
DRatings60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.36501
-0.13731
-0.12948

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.