German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+295
+105
+295
+100
1.13
1.98		3.11
o2¼-109
u2¼-103
o2½+120
u2½-135
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-714
+1800
-850
+1700
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3¾-109
u3¾-105
o3½-135
u4-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig		7.6%
79.6%		12.7%
+1100
-420
+1200
-480
0
1		-0.23851-0.23360-0.22770
Union Berlin
Mainz 05		29.3%
45.2%		25.5%
+287
+110
+285
+105
1
1		-1.25208-1.24327-1.36743
Holstein Kiel
Hoffenheim		9.7%
76.4%		13.9%
+405
-157
+381
-160
2
3		-0.51428-0.53001-0.26897
Werder Bremen
Augsburg		25.0%
51.8%		23.1%
+184
+154
+175
+150
2
2		-1.31431-1.31744-1.46443
VfB Stuttgart
Freiburg		41.2%
33.0%		25.8%
-101
+277
-105
+275
1
3		-1.34777-1.35642-1.10809
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Borussia Monchengladbach		63.1%
17.5%		19.4%
-155
+400
-162
+400
3
2		-0.52746-0.52533-0.46066
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg		30.5%
44.2%		25.3%
+128
+232
+120
+225
3
1		-0.84234-0.83924-1.18738
Augsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		10.2%
74.6%		15.2%
+1300
-480
+1150
-545
1
2		-0.20927-0.21949-0.29320
FC Koln
FC Heidenheim		40.1%
33.9%		26.0%
+230
+112
+222
+115
1
4		-0.76417-0.79452-1.08276
Freiburg
Union Berlin		30.5%
43.3%		26.2%
+336
-111
+300
-108
1
2		-0.65473-0.69067-0.83667
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen		22.4%
55.5%		22.1%
+231
+115
+226
+115
1
4		-0.79206-0.80122-0.58841
Darmstadt 98
Dortmund		9.4%
77.0%		13.6%
+1750
-755
+1600
-870
0
4		-0.15200-0.15983-0.26183
Bayern Munich
Hoffenheim		63.9%
17.1%		19.0%
-108
+269
-113
+255
2
4		-1.31323-1.30970-1.76539
Borussia Monchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart		33.5%
41.7%		24.8%
+1000
-428
+1000
-450
0
4		-0.24423-0.24483-0.87568
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt		42.6%
32.6%		24.8%
+207
+128
+190
+130
2
2		-1.39107-1.36301-1.39493
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Bochum		60.2%
19.1%		20.7%
-129
+372
-135
+351
5
0		-0.58709-0.59363-0.50771
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.22770 
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.23552 
DRatings60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.36501
-0.13731
-0.12948

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.