German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+315
+103
+295
+100
1.13
1.98		3.11
o2¼-110
u2¼-101
o2½+120
u2½-135
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-700
+1800
-770
+1700
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3¾-109
u3¾+101
o3½-135
u4-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
VfL Bochum
Wolfsburg		19.2%
59.6%		21.2%
+300
-101
+295
-108
0
1		-0.71429-0.70072-0.51810
Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		19.4%
60.1%		20.5%
+295
-103
+270
-105
1
3		-0.69147-0.70719-0.50889
Werder Bremen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		12.1%
71.5%		16.4%
+1400
-491
+1400
-550
0
5		-0.20460-0.20727-0.33505
Freiburg
Darmstadt 98		48.1%
27.5%		24.3%
-130
+363
-145
+340
1
0		-0.58965-0.57490-0.73120
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfB Stuttgart		30.0%
45.9%		24.1%
+530
-205
+515
-210
0
3		-0.42770-0.43878-0.77766
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05		27.5%
48.8%		23.7%
+334
-109
+285
-115
1
4		-0.64097-0.66937-0.71836
FC Heidenheim
VfL Bochum		24.1%
52.3%		23.6%
+251
+113
+238
+110
1
1		-1.34059-1.32957-1.44443
Dortmund
Borussia Monchengladbach		40.2%
35.3%		24.5%
+107
+257
+110
+255
2
1		-0.74066-0.75942-0.91108
FC Koln
Bayern Munich		4.4%
87.1%		8.6%
+1100
-414
+1050
-470
0
2		-0.23822-0.24044-0.13848
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig		11.2%
72.5%		16.2%
+971
-281
+760
-305
0
3		-0.29351-0.32889-0.32125
Union Berlin
Augsburg		35.4%
37.7%		26.9%
+270
+112
+255
+110
0
2		-0.77714-0.78858-0.97647
Borussia Monchengladbach
Wolfsburg		36.3%
37.9%		25.8%
+279
-103
+265
-105
3
1		-1.35965-1.33964-1.01399
Augsburg
Hoffenheim		17.2%
63.4%		19.4%
+192
+130
+195
+120
1
3		-0.85386-0.83409-0.45567
VfB Stuttgart
Dortmund		8.5%
78.5%		13.0%
+250
+104
+245
+100
1
0		-1.26227-1.27447-2.46605
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim		83.6%
5.7%		10.7%
-264
+610
-280
+620
2
3		-1.98967-2.02110-2.86857
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Union Berlin		31.9%
42.1%		25.9%
-147
+460
-155
+460
1
0		-0.54547-0.52770-1.14225
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.22770 
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.23552 
DRatings60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.36501
-0.13731
-0.12948

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.