German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+300
+103
+300
-101
1.13
1.98		3.11
o2¼-106
u2¼-104
o2½+120
u2½-135
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-700
+1850
-770
+1600
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3¾-107
u3¾+100
o3½-140
u4-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Darmstadt 98
Mainz 05		17.5%
62.8%		19.7%
+675
-236
+670
-250
0
4		-0.38421-0.38161-0.46533
RB Leipzig
Freiburg		38.6%
35.0%		26.4%
-171
+475
-180
+445
4
1		-0.48204-0.48464-0.95280
VfL Bochum
FC Koln		17.6%
62.6%		19.7%
+218
+130
+205
+128
1
2		-0.85958-0.87120-0.46781
Werder Bremen
Eintracht Frankfurt		14.8%
67.5%		17.7%
+375
-123
+330
-125
1
1		-1.38890-1.38502-1.72952
Darmstadt 98
VfL Bochum		27.0%
49.3%		23.7%
+545
-202
+580
-210
2
2		-1.61687-1.56710-1.44041
FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart		19.6%
59.0%		21.4%
+885
-335
+875
-370
3
3		-1.89699-1.89466-1.54169
FC Koln
Augsburg		32.3%
42.6%		25.1%
+427
-146
+422
-145
1
1		-1.47430-1.40964-1.38282
Dortmund
Bayern Munich		10.4%
75.2%		14.4%
+645
-268
+580
-280
2
0		-2.03042-1.96233-2.26780
Mainz 05
RB Leipzig		12.6%
70.5%		16.9%
+750
-271
+725
-299
0
0		-1.77102-1.77815-1.77502
Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		19.8%
59.6%		20.6%
+1200
-474
+1200
-545
1
2		-0.21130-0.21812-0.51751
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen		30.3%
44.6%		25.0%
+171
+172
+166
+170
2
0		-1.01514-1.01796-1.19330
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt		25.6%
50.6%		23.7%
+337
-104
+315
-105
0
0		-1.29521-1.28468-1.43788
Freiburg
Borussia Monchengladbach		26.1%
50.5%		23.4%
+249
+113
+240
+110
3
0		-1.26890-1.27075-1.34369
Eintracht Frankfurt
Dortmund		16.9%
64.5%		18.6%
+400
-147
+360
-150
1
3		-0.53618-0.55956-0.43923
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg		32.7%
41.5%		25.8%
-193
+550
-195
+525
3
2		-0.44250-0.45631-1.11792
VfB Stuttgart
Hoffenheim		16.4%
64.8%		18.8%
-136
+334
-130
+320
3
0		-0.57968-0.59820-1.80807
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.22770 
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.23552 
DRatings60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.36501
-0.13731
-0.12948

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.