German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-667
+1600
-770
+1600
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3¾-114
u3¾+100
o3½-140
u4-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+310
+104
+290
+105
3.11
o2¼-101
u2¼-109
o2½+120
u2½-135
1st H
10:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayern Munich
Darmstadt 98		81.8%
6.8%		11.4%
-675
+1850
-725
+1450
5
2		-0.16016-0.17664-0.20069
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin		15.6%
65.0%		19.4%
+283
+112
+270
+105
1
2		-0.77382-0.76466-0.43104
VfL Bochum
Mainz 05		17.2%
62.9%		19.9%
+341
-121
+340
-125
0
2		-0.62635-0.62946-0.46420
Augsburg
Wolfsburg		23.2%
53.6%		23.1%
+221
+132
+230
+125
3
1		-1.17902-1.22268-1.45998
Borussia Monchengladbach
FC Heidenheim		51.5%
25.1%		23.4%
+163
+169
+164
+165
1
1		-1.32234-1.30409-1.45419
RB Leipzig
FC Koln		47.6%
28.4%		24.1%
-203
+600
-216
+570
5
1		-0.41729-0.41870-0.74322
Wolfsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		14.4%
67.1%		18.5%
+995
-310
+900
-350
0
2		-0.29635-0.30171-0.39900
Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt		23.8%
54.4%		21.8%
+256
+110
+250
+100
1
3		-0.75997-0.73631-0.60813
Freiburg
VfL Bochum		45.3%
29.6%		25.1%
+191
+155
+196
+145
2
1		-1.08945-1.12874-0.79138
Dortmund
Werder Bremen		56.9%
21.9%		21.2%
-121
+305
-120
+300
2
1		-0.62383-0.63482-0.56440
FC Heidenheim
Augsburg		18.8%
59.8%		21.4%
+385
-143
+385
-150
0
1		-0.55191-0.55417-0.51390
FC Koln
Borussia Monchengladbach		20.0%
59.6%		20.5%
+340
-117
+330
-120
3
3		-1.38741-1.35147-1.58650
Mainz 05
Bayern Munich		4.5%
86.5%		9.0%
+1125
-407
+1025
-440
1
8		-0.24658-0.25229-0.14475
Darmstadt 98
RB Leipzig		7.7%
79.6%		12.7%
+2064
-645
+1800
-800
0
2		-0.15963-0.16194-0.22847
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart		41.2%
32.6%		26.2%
+562
-195
+600
-210
0
2		-0.44074-0.43348-1.12156
Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim		17.0%
63.9%		19.1%
+262
-103
+250
-105
1
2		-0.70108-0.71584-0.44730
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.23753 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.20648 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.19462
0.04291
0.01186

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.