German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-625
+1525
-725
+1500
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3½-125
u3¾-104
o3½-135
u3½+120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+310
+104
+290
+105
3.11
o2¼-101
u2¼-109
o2½+120
u2½-135
2nd H
82:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Koln		40.5%
34.1%		25.4%
-268
+765
-270
+700
2
0		-0.34575-0.36612-0.90286
VfB Stuttgart
Wolfsburg		22.3%
55.1%		22.5%
+124
+237
+123
+223
3
2		-0.82494-0.84095-1.49852
Augsburg
Darmstadt 98		31.1%
44.1%		24.8%
+116
+255
+120
+235
6
0		-0.78856-0.83048-1.16838
Borussia Monchengladbach
Mainz 05		33.7%
41.3%		25.0%
+318
-106
+308
-115
1
1		-1.35375-1.37722-1.38605
RB Leipzig
VfL Bochum		60.2%
19.0%		20.8%
-149
+376
-152
+395
4
1		-0.54326-0.53021-0.50770
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Heidenheim		52.9%
24.1%		23.0%
+145
+205
+140
+200
2
1		-0.92581-0.91864-0.63767
Dortmund
Union Berlin		39.4%
34.8%		25.8%
+112
+250
+105
+255
2
0		-0.77659-0.75683-0.93143
Bayern Munich
Freiburg		66.9%
14.7%		18.4%
-200
+544
-215
+550
2
2		-1.62308-1.64517-1.69179
Freiburg
Augsburg		39.3%
34.4%		26.3%
+198
+140
+193
+140
1
2		-0.90133-0.91434-1.06807
Hoffenheim
Dortmund		14.7%
68.0%		17.3%
+525
-212
+525
-230
3
2		-1.85049-1.87725-1.91644
Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		17.5%
62.7%		19.8%
+200
+147
+200
+141
2
2		-1.26603-1.26528-1.61984
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich		9.9%
75.4%		14.6%
+350
-128
+350
-149
1
2		-0.58315-0.56028-0.28218
Darmstadt 98
Werder Bremen		22.7%
55.4%		21.9%
+375
-132
+380
-135
1
1		-1.45252-1.38974-1.51873
VfL Bochum
Borussia Monchengladbach		12.6%
70.9%		16.4%
+250
+115
+240
+112
2
5		-0.78281-0.79782-0.34372
FC Koln
VfB Stuttgart		33.4%
41.5%		25.1%
+865
-282
+785
-307
1
1		-1.74303-1.76761-1.38131
FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin		10.7%
72.7%		16.6%
+370
-116
+332
-115
2
2		-1.31826-1.32411-1.79420
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.23753 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.20648 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.19462
0.04291
0.01186

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.