German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
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Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-588
+1475
-725
+1500
3.94
o3¾-109
u3¾-102
o3½-130
u3½+120
2nd H
53:00		2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin		10.7%
72.7%		16.6%
+370
-116
+332
-115
2
2		-1.31826-1.32411-1.79420
Mainz 05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		16.1%
64.7%		19.2%
+995
-325
+1000
-380
1
2		-0.28802-0.27531-0.43584
Bayern Munich
VfL Bochum		81.7%
6.7%		11.5%
-249
+645
-275
+635
2
3		-2.03416-2.04161-2.70232
Eintracht Frankfurt
Freiburg		28.3%
47.5%		24.1%
+200
+150
+190
+145
3
3		-1.25506-1.25917-1.42097
Borussia Monchengladbach
RB Leipzig		17.0%
63.7%		19.3%
+760
-299
+800
-314
0
2		-0.32033-0.31618-0.45058
Dortmund
Wolfsburg		51.6%
25.3%		23.1%
+110
+247
+109
+230
1
1		-1.39489-1.38850-1.46664
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim		28.6%
46.6%		24.8%
+310
-107
+300
-110
1
0		-1.43670-1.42737-1.25152
VfB Stuttgart
Darmstadt 98		30.1%
45.4%		24.5%
-200
+594
-204
+575
2
1		-0.41536-0.42193-1.20151
Augsburg
Mainz 05		21.0%
57.1%		21.9%
+315
-101
+300
-110
0
1		-0.70399-0.69547-0.56089
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Heidenheim		58.1%
20.2%		21.8%
-260
+690
-275
+675
2
1		-0.35885-0.35339-0.54357
Werder Bremen
FC Koln		21.3%
57.3%		21.4%
+206
+145
+197
+150
1
0		-1.14624-1.12316-1.54477
FC Koln
Hoffenheim		21.7%
57.1%		21.2%
+367
-131
+365
-134
1
1		-1.42649-1.42333-1.55254
Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart		33.8%
40.5%		25.7%
+640
-206
+600
-210
1
3		-0.42112-0.43348-0.90328
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		60.3%
19.2%		20.5%
+200
+139
+192
+136
0
3		-0.89889-0.89803-1.64932
VfL Bochum
Eintracht Frankfurt		12.0%
71.8%		16.2%
+378
-128
+390
-133
1
1		-1.38766-1.37235-1.82245
RB Leipzig
Augsburg		54.2%
23.0%		22.7%
-140
+369
-150
+350
2
2		-1.50688-1.52993-1.48100
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.25162 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.26135 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.53322
-0.28160
-0.27187

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.