German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+315
+105
+300
-101
1.13
1.98		3.11
o2¼-109
u2¼-102
o2½+120
u2½-135
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-700
+1800
-770
+1600
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3¾-109
u3¾-101
o3½-140
u4-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin		24.6%
52.0%		23.4%
+250
+112
+245
+110
2
0		-1.28010-1.28125-1.40234
Darmstadt 98
VfB Stuttgart		23.5%
54.2%		22.3%
+725
-265
+715
-270
1
3		-0.35209-0.35536-0.61249
Borussia Monchengladbach
Darmstadt 98		46.5%
29.7%		23.8%
+188
+145
+180
+145
3
3		-1.32366-1.32107-1.43368
Werder Bremen
FC Heidenheim		35.2%
38.5%		26.3%
+193
+132
+190
+130
2
4		-0.87314-0.87151-0.95477
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfL Bochum		48.1%
28.1%		23.8%
+154
+186
+146
+186
1
1		-1.26684-1.28334-1.43683
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05		20.2%
58.6%		21.3%
+168
+166
+170
+155
3
1		-1.01611-1.03502-1.60063
Augsburg
RB Leipzig		8.7%
77.4%		13.9%
+950
-360
+875
-375
0
3		-0.27633-0.27579-0.25629
Dortmund
Freiburg		34.8%
39.8%		25.4%
+133
+193
+135
+185
4
2		-0.87565-0.89659-1.05642
Union Berlin
Wolfsburg		35.7%
37.1%		27.2%
+255
+122
+240
+120
1
2		-0.82091-0.82707-0.99123
Hoffenheim
FC Koln		32.3%
43.3%		24.5%
+218
+118
+205
+125
3
1		-1.18603-1.15474-1.13153
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayern Munich		7.7%
79.8%		12.5%
+420
-166
+400
-171
2
2		-1.57624-1.58192-2.07752
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+111
+265
+110
+255
3
0		-0.77130-0.78076-0.91897
FC Koln
Eintracht Frankfurt		19.1%
60.9%		20.1%
+255
+120
+241
+120
1
1		-1.26411-1.24351-1.60639
Bayern Munich
Borussia Monchengladbach		67.1%
15.0%		17.9%
-385
+900
-390
+850
2
1		-0.26595-0.27233-0.39899
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen		33.0%
41.6%		25.3%
+168
+173
+155
+165
0
4		-1.02521-1.02449-0.87606
VfL Bochum
Augsburg		22.2%
55.4%		22.4%
+230
+123
+240
+120
2
2		-1.31987-1.30298-1.49803
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.22770 
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.23552 
DRatings60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.36501
-0.13731
-0.12948

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.