German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 6 hr ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/02/2023 03:30 PM	Hoffenheim Werder Bremen	33.1% 41.9%	25.0%	+234 +121 +215 +120	2 1	-1.22438-1.18951	-1.10482
04/02/2023 01:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach FC Koln	27.5% 49.2%	23.3%	+233 +127 +215 +122	0 0	-1.29328-1.32358	-1.45667
04/01/2023 04:30 PM	Dortmund Bayern Munich	12.7% 71.0%	16.3%	+489 -185 +475 -205	2 4	-0.45086-0.43857	-0.34305
04/01/2023 01:30 PM	Hertha BSC Freiburg	16.1% 64.3%	19.6%	+384 -113 +375 -120	1 1	-1.27740-1.32426	-1.63189
04/01/2023 01:30 PM	Augsburg Wolfsburg	21.0% 56.4%	22.6%	+498 -171 +490 -165	2 2	-1.52083-1.46486	-1.48589
04/01/2023 01:30 PM	Mainz 05 RB Leipzig	14.2% 67.4%	18.3%	+578 -192 +552 -195	3 0	-1.93989-1.91325	-1.94855
04/01/2023 01:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart Union Berlin	35.8% 37.5%	26.7%	+290 +123 +295 +117	0 3	-0.82307-0.80087	-1.02126
04/01/2023 01:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Schalke 04	49.4% 26.9%	23.7%	-113 +341 -115 +309	3 0	-0.65414-0.67417	-0.70538
03/31/2023 06:30 PM	VfL Bochum Eintracht Frankfurt	11.3% 73.2%	15.5%	+524 -178 +550 -180	1 1	-1.52661-1.53146	-1.86588
03/19/2023 06:30 PM	Freiburg Mainz 05	31.5% 42.6%	25.8%	+305 +105 +300 +100	1 1	-1.26677-1.25846	-1.35309
03/19/2023 04:30 PM	Bayern Munich Bayer 04 Leverkusen	55.4% 22.6%	22.0%	-137 +364 -150 +365	1 2	-1.55533-1.58032	-1.48519
03/19/2023 02:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt Union Berlin	26.9% 49.2%	23.9%	+254 +137 +263 +135	0 2	-0.88455-0.88184	-0.71011
03/18/2023 05:30 PM	FC Koln Dortmund	13.8% 69.1%	17.0%	+477 -178 +485 -195	1 6	-0.47186-0.45947	-0.36914
03/18/2023 02:30 PM	Wolfsburg VfB Stuttgart	23.9% 52.4%	23.7%	+291 +107 +265 +110	1 0	-1.38782-1.33397	-1.43016
03/18/2023 02:30 PM	Schalke 04 Augsburg	25.8% 50.4%	23.7%	+210 +146 +203 +135	1 1	-1.25506-1.27225	-1.43767
03/18/2023 02:30 PM	RB Leipzig VfL Bochum	64.1% 16.3%	19.5%	-174 +517 -190 +512	0 1	-1.84383-1.85636	-1.81106

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.71816
Sportsbooks	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.71803
DRatings	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.84148	-0.12332 -0.12346

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.