German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 1 day ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
08/20/2022 01:30 PM	Mainz 05 Augsburg	40.3% 33.5%	26.1%	+105 +300 -105 +285	2 1	-0.72954-0.71756	-0.90788
08/20/2022 01:30 PM	Schalke 04 Wolfsburg	11.9% 71.1%	17.0%	+320 -115 +305 -110	0 0	-1.38994-1.34850	-1.77155
08/20/2022 01:30 PM	Hoffenheim Bayer 04 Leverkusen	15.8% 65.8%	18.4%	+425 -160 +405 -170	3 0	-1.67232-1.66342	-1.84649
08/20/2022 01:30 PM	Werder Bremen Dortmund	6.1% 83.3%	10.6%	+657 -235 +662 -270	3 2	-2.04145-2.07928	-2.79787
08/19/2022 06:30 PM	Hertha BSC Borussia Monchengladbach	17.3% 63.3%	19.3%	+525 -190 +500 -210	0 1	-0.44608-0.44055	-0.45687
08/14/2022 03:30 PM	Wolfsburg Bayern Munich	4.8% 85.5%	9.7%	+1450 -620 +1600 -730	0 2	-0.17995-0.17105	-0.15698
08/14/2022 01:30 PM	Union Berlin Mainz 05	21.7% 55.6%	22.7%	+250 +128 +235 +127	0 0	-1.22731-1.22431	-1.48153
08/13/2022 04:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Schalke 04	45.9% 29.7%	24.4%	+116 +245 +110 +225	2 2	-1.36055-1.37105	-1.41206
08/13/2022 01:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart Werder Bremen	38.8% 35.4%	25.8%	+214 +133 +205 +125	2 2	-1.32013-1.32980	-1.35615
08/13/2022 01:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt Hertha BSC	44.7% 31.2%	24.1%	+140 +210 +130 +210	1 1	-1.29781-1.32558	-1.42217
08/13/2022 01:30 PM	VfL Bochum Hoffenheim	16.3% 64.7%	19.1%	+461 -155 +400 -165	2 3	-0.50274-0.52498	-0.43597
08/13/2022 01:30 PM	FC Koln RB Leipzig	9.2% 76.6%	14.1%	+592 -214 +625 -236	2 2	-1.63835-1.63271	-1.95567
08/13/2022 01:30 PM	Augsburg Bayer 04 Leverkusen	7.4% 80.1%	12.5%	+858 -309 +850 -325	2 1	-2.28327-2.28730	-2.60274
08/12/2022 06:30 PM	Dortmund Freiburg	39.5% 34.9%	25.6%	+135 +205 +130 +195	3 1	-0.87084-0.87601	-0.92892
08/07/2022 01:30 PM	RB Leipzig VfB Stuttgart	56.9% 21.3%	21.8%	+105 +277 -105 +305	1 1	-1.34519-1.34719	-1.52537
08/06/2022 04:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Dortmund	24.4% 53.4%	22.2%	+243 +110 +235 +105	0 1	-0.75952-0.75351	-0.62710

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.