German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 2 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/03/2021 05:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Arminia Bielefeld	46.2% 28.8%	25.0%	-142 +403 -150 +375	4 0	-0.55215-0.56103	-0.77113
10/03/2021 03:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt Bayern Munich	12.3% 81.4%	6.3%	+2735 -913 +2250 -990	2 1	-3.35958-3.20202	-2.09224
10/03/2021 01:30 PM	Union Berlin Mainz 05	33.9% 40.0%	26.1%	+275 +123 +265 +115	2 1	-1.33094-1.34044	-1.08267
10/02/2021 04:30 PM	VfL Bochum RB Leipzig	12.4% 79.9%	7.6%	+1632 -550 +1600 -600	0 3	-0.19227-0.20226	-0.22387
10/02/2021 01:30 PM	Augsburg Dortmund	13.2% 78.9%	7.9%	+1300 -435 +1200 -460	1 2	-0.23393-0.24216	-0.23704
10/02/2021 01:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Wolfsburg	28.7% 48.8%	22.5%	+276 +110 +270 +100	3 1	-1.33968-1.35452	-1.24716
10/02/2021 01:30 PM	Freiburg Hertha BSC	34.2% 40.0%	25.8%	+153 +217 +145 +211	2 1	-0.93739-0.93189	-1.07195
10/02/2021 01:30 PM	Hoffenheim VfB Stuttgart	32.2% 43.7%	24.1%	+144 +189 +140 +180	1 3	-1.08010-1.06592	-0.82883
09/26/2021 03:30 PM	Augsburg Freiburg	23.9% 56.7%	19.4%	+375 -116 +360 -123	0 3	-0.64299-0.64067	-0.56775
09/26/2021 01:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart VfL Bochum	41.1% 34.0%	24.9%	+126 +230 +122 +215	0 0	-1.30597-1.31535	-1.39179
09/25/2021 04:30 PM	Dortmund Borussia Monchengladbach	40.1% 35.2%	24.7%	+115 +250 +115 +219	0 1	-1.25934-1.20094	-1.04393
09/25/2021 01:30 PM	Arminia Bielefeld Union Berlin	25.8% 51.1%	23.1%	+490 -143 +454 -150	0 1	-0.55385-0.55692	-0.67148
09/25/2021 01:30 PM	Hertha BSC RB Leipzig	15.0% 75.0%	10.0%	+957 -320 +925 -315	0 6	-0.30044-0.31340	-0.28812
09/25/2021 01:30 PM	FC Koln Eintracht Frankfurt	20.3% 66.6%	13.1%	+242 +115 +230 +110	1 1	-1.36324-1.35864	-2.03631
09/25/2021 01:30 PM	Wolfsburg Hoffenheim	35.1% 39.0%	25.9%	+179 +165 +172 +165	1 3	-0.99344-1.00884	-0.94135
09/25/2021 01:30 PM	Mainz 05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen	18.9% 67.0%	14.1%	+410 -138 +365 -140	0 1	-0.56175-0.58625	-0.40036

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.