German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+455
-180
+475
-195
1.20
2.64		3.84
o3-111
u3-102
o3-115
u3-105
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+540
-205
+570
-235
1.10
2.59		3.69
o3-115
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-186
+460
-185
+420
1.98
1.10		3.08
o3½-108
u3½-105
o3½+100
u3½-115
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+580
-228
+555
-205
0.98
2.16		3.14
o3¼-116
u3¼+103
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Augsburg
Hoffenheim		21.2%
63.1%		15.6%
+540
-180
+520
-195
1
3		-0.46294-0.45754-0.45967
VfB Stuttgart
SpVgg Greuther Furth		42.7%
32.9%		24.5%
+115
+250
+116
+260
0
0		-1.28866-1.26848-1.40735
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayern Munich		12.9%
79.6%		7.4%
+848
-318
+750
-330
2
1		-2.27089-2.18418-2.04469
VfB Stuttgart
FC Koln		34.6%
40.5%		24.9%
+312
-113
+310
-120
0
1		-0.65566-0.64596-0.90330
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg		36.7%
36.4%		26.9%
+176
+160
+165
+159
1
2		-0.97620-0.99282-1.01126
Dortmund
Hertha BSC		53.7%
26.4%		19.9%
-162
+435
-175
+410
2
3		-1.69991-1.67788-1.32995
Arminia Bielefeld
RB Leipzig		12.5%
77.9%		9.7%
+1450
-475
+1400
-455
2
0		-2.76892-2.74638-2.08128
Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt		25.1%
56.5%		18.4%
+180
+160
+185
+150
0
1		-0.98663-0.96029-0.57068
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hoffenheim		34.4%
40.8%		24.8%
+265
+102
+255
-105
1
1		-1.41079-1.43873-1.39465
Union Berlin
VfL Bochum		37.2%
36.4%		26.4%
+110
+270
+110
+265
1
0		-0.77762-0.77718-0.98996
Augsburg
SpVgg Greuther Furth		35.7%
38.4%		25.8%
+115
+247
+112
+245
0
0		-1.30137-1.30926-1.35336
Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich		12.1%
80.4%		7.5%
+1601
-500
+1250
-525
0
4		-0.18704-0.21498-0.21788
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Dortmund		9.8%
85.3%		4.9%
+2400
-900
+2500
-900
0
3		-0.14000-0.14310-0.15852
Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		24.1%
57.3%		18.6%
+270
+104
+285
-107
2
2		-1.37769-1.39352-1.68325
Freiburg
Union Berlin		32.6%
41.5%		25.9%
+204
+164
+200
+160
0
0		-1.18319-1.18221-1.35077
RB Leipzig
Augsburg		61.9%
21.5%		16.7%
-225
+654
-242
+650
1
1		-1.63887-1.63327-1.79192
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70932 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71523 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63247
0.07685
0.08276

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.