German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen 		32.2%
43.8%		23.9%
+232
+118
+225
+119
1.39
1.65		3.04
o2¾+100
u2¾-115
o2½-130
u2½+110
Union Berlin
Freiburg 		27.9%
47.2%		24.9%
+266
+116
+260
+115
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2¼-112
u2¼-104
o2½+120
u2½-140
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart 		32.9%
41.9%		25.2%
+163
+150
+173
+145
1.29
1.49		2.78
o3½-112
u3½-105
o3½-105
u3½-105
Games for Mar 14, 2026
Games for Mar 16, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+400
-147
+416
-160
3.84
o3-115
u3+105
o3-120
u3+100
1st H
21:00		0
0
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+490
-179
+450
-185
3.69
o3¼+123
u3-107
o3-112
u3-105
1st H
20:00		0
1
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-178
+440
-183
+410
3.08
o3½-109
u3½+102
o3½-112
u3½+100
1st H
21:00		0
1
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+580
-217
+625
-230
3.14
o3¼-118
u3½-115
o3½+105
u3½-125
1st H
20:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Dortmund
Mainz 05		62.7%
21.5%		15.8%
-245
+575
-260
+580
3
1		-0.36969-0.37526-0.46700
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Monchengladbach		25.5%
55.1%		19.3%
+465
-195
+440
-160
2
1		-1.76335-1.68772-1.36520
Hoffenheim
Arminia Bielefeld		44.2%
30.9%		24.9%
+165
+154
+152
+160
1
1		-1.37841-1.37472-1.39099
Werder Bremen
Augsburg		35.2%
39.1%		25.7%
+204
+154
+205
+150
0
2		-0.96672-0.95967-0.93815
Eintracht Frankfurt
Schalke 04		53.3%
26.7%		20.0%
-400
+1150
-380
+1050
3
4		-2.54938-2.47314-1.32009
Bayern Munich
Freiburg		73.7%
15.6%		10.7%
-335
+810
-325
+780
2
2		-1.96113-1.95447-2.23764
Union Berlin
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		21.1%
62.6%		16.2%
+300
-102
+300
-106
1
1		-1.34312-1.34258-1.81763
Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt		24.1%
58.6%		17.3%
+292
-102
+275
-110
1
1		-1.41494-1.41260-1.75446
Freiburg
FC Koln		44.4%
31.7%		23.9%
+290
-105
+266
+110
4
1		-1.39566-1.32430-0.81135
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayern Munich		18.7%
68.5%		12.8%
+601
-230
+550
-238
0
6		-0.37842-0.39811-0.37807
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Werder Bremen		61.0%
22.1%		16.9%
+100
+290
-105
+310
0
0		-1.33865-1.33435-1.77957
Union Berlin
Wolfsburg		26.3%
51.6%		22.0%
+370
-118
+363
-120
0
3		-0.64441-0.64386-0.66072
Schalke 04
Hoffenheim		24.5%
56.5%		18.9%
+950
-312
+1100
-360
2
4		-0.29046-0.27073-0.57024
RB Leipzig
Dortmund		39.2%
35.3%		25.5%
+205
+133
+195
+135
2
3		-0.86588-0.88790-1.04146
Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart		28.4%
49.6%		22.0%
+260
+116
+237
+120
1
2		-0.79622-0.83121-0.70066
Freiburg
Hertha BSC		41.6%
33.3%		25.0%
+235
+133
+235
+135
0
3		-0.88066-0.88566-1.09853
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70932 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71523 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63247
0.07685
0.08276

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.