German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen 		32.2%
43.8%		23.9%
+232
+118
+225
+119
1.39
1.65		3.04
o2¾+100
u2¾-115
o2½-130
u2½+110
Union Berlin
Freiburg 		27.9%
47.2%		24.9%
+266
+116
+260
+115
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2¼-112
u2¼-104
o2½+120
u2½-140
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart 		32.9%
41.9%		25.2%
+163
+150
+173
+145
1.29
1.49		2.78
o3½-112
u3½-105
o3½-105
u3½-105
Games for Mar 14, 2026
Games for Mar 16, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+400
-147
+416
-160
3.84
o3-115
u3+105
o3-120
u3+100
2nd H
87:00		0
1
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+490
-179
+450
-185
3.69
o3¼+123
u3-107
o3-112
u3-105
2nd H
87:00		0
2
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-178
+440
-183
+410
3.08
o3½-109
u3½+102
o3½-112
u3½+100
2nd H
85:00		1
1
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+580
-217
+625
-230
3.14
o3¼-118
u3½-115
o3½+105
u3½-125
2nd H
85:00		1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hertha BSC
Mainz 05		37.5%
36.8%		25.7%
+220
+142
+205
+140
1
1		-1.23289-1.24039-1.36039
Arminia Bielefeld
Borussia Monchengladbach		19.9%
64.4%		15.7%
+485
-155
+475
-158
0
5		-0.53179-0.53866-0.44031
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig		20.5%
64.4%		15.1%
+713
-260
+750
-290
0
2		-0.35210-0.34499-0.44026
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		26.8%
53.4%		19.8%
+215
+120
+205
+120
1
3		-0.81647-0.83367-0.62687
Bayern Munich
Mainz 05		84.0%
10.3%		5.7%
-360
+950
-360
+900
1
2		-2.37849-2.33728-2.27041
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin		30.9%
45.0%		24.1%
+315
+102
+340
+104
1
3		-0.72863-0.71611-0.79822
Hoffenheim
Freiburg		35.1%
39.1%		25.8%
+130
+212
+135
+208
1
1		-1.34346-1.33651-1.35410
Dortmund
Wolfsburg		41.1%
33.5%		25.4%
+110
+227
+110
+223
2
0		-0.77345-0.77953-0.88992
FC Koln
Augsburg		34.5%
40.7%		24.7%
+155
+195
+155
+194
3
2		-0.96969-0.97530-1.06378
Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart		41.7%
33.0%		25.3%
-125
+320
-130
+300
3
1		-0.62409-0.61982-0.87436
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen		32.7%
42.6%		24.7%
+140
+222
+135
+220
1
0		-0.90350-0.89732-1.11780
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hoffenheim		45.3%
31.4%		23.4%
+155
+190
+147
+175
2
3		-1.06485-1.04962-1.15957
Union Berlin
Dortmund		22.0%
61.4%		16.6%
+560
-192
+550
-196
0
2		-0.44537-0.43844-0.48713
Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		25.1%
56.7%		18.3%
+914
-300
+850
-290
0
2		-0.29936-0.31877-0.56812
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayern Munich		20.8%
63.8%		15.4%
+490
-185
+515
-190
0
2		-0.46304-0.45295-0.44942
RB Leipzig
FC Koln		67.8%
19.1%		13.1%
-167
+535
-175
+480
1
2		-1.85860-1.80369-1.65559
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70932 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71523 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63247
0.07685
0.08276

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.