German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen 		32.2%
43.8%		23.9%
+232
+118
+225
+119
1.39
1.65		3.04
o2½-120
u2¾-119
o2½-130
u2½+110
Union Berlin
Freiburg 		27.9%
47.2%		24.9%
+266
+116
+260
+115
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2¼-111
u2¼-103
o2½+120
u2½-140
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart 		32.9%
41.9%		25.2%
+163
+150
+173
+145
1.29
1.49		2.78
o3½-112
u3½-105
o3½-105
u3½-105
Games for Mar 14, 2026
Games for Mar 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Union Berlin
Dortmund		22.0%
61.4%		16.6%
+560
-192
+550
-196
0
2		-0.44537-0.43844-0.48713
Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		25.1%
56.7%		18.3%
+914
-300
+850
-290
0
2		-0.29936-0.31877-0.56812
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayern Munich		20.8%
63.8%		15.4%
+490
-185
+515
-190
0
2		-0.46304-0.45295-0.44942
RB Leipzig
FC Koln		67.8%
19.1%		13.1%
-167
+535
-175
+480
1
2		-1.85860-1.80369-1.65559
Werder Bremen
Dortmund		19.2%
67.3%		13.5%
+819
-295
+816
-265
1
4		-0.31674-0.33543-0.39589
FC Koln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		17.8%
70.3%		11.8%
+475
-150
+450
-158
0
3		-0.53144-0.53363-0.35179
Arminia Bielefeld
Augsburg		34.0%
39.4%		26.6%
+219
+140
+210
+135
0
0		-1.23722-1.25664-1.32264
VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin		36.6%
37.0%		26.3%
+254
+115
+251
+115
1
2		-0.80225-0.80784-0.99296
Schalke 04
Freiburg		24.8%
54.9%		20.2%
+460
-149
+470
-145
0
4		-0.54257-0.55118-0.59887
Bayern Munich
Wolfsburg		66.2%
19.3%		14.5%
-111
+295
-110
+290
3
2		-0.66754-0.67702-0.41213
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Monchengladbach		29.4%
49.1%		21.4%
+195
+146
+180
+145
0
4		-0.89563-0.91629-0.71086
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig		21.9%
61.9%		16.2%
+740
-244
+720
-260
0
0		-1.67686-1.66871-1.82004
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hoffenheim		49.7%
28.8%		21.5%
+142
+185
+140
+180
0
0		-1.37164-1.34546-1.53698
Mainz 05
FC Koln		34.6%
42.5%		22.9%
+157
+200
+150
+195
3
2		-0.97636-0.96372-1.06054
Augsburg
Schalke 04		38.4%
37.5%		24.1%
+160
+190
+153
+210
0
1		-1.08299-1.14939-0.98102
Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart		50.8%
28.2%		21.0%
-124
+332
-125
+305
3
2		-0.61369-0.63311-0.67690
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-0-2 (0.800)0-0.99565 
Sportsbooks53-0-2 (0.800)0-1.00863 
DRatings53-0-2 (0.800)0-0.90916
0.08649
0.09947

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.