German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen 		32.2%
43.8%		23.9%
+232
+118
+225
+119
1.39
1.65		3.04
o2½-120
u2¾-119
o2½-130
u2½+110
Union Berlin
Freiburg 		27.9%
47.2%		24.9%
+266
+116
+260
+115
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2¼-111
u2¼-103
o2½+120
u2½-140
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart 		32.9%
41.9%		25.2%
+163
+150
+173
+145
1.29
1.49		2.78
o3½-111
u3½-104
o3½-105
u3½-105
Games for Mar 14, 2026
Games for Mar 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen		64.5%
19.3%		16.2%
-278
+848
-260
+770
4
1		-0.33108-0.35962-0.43872
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hertha BSC		55.4%
25.4%		19.1%
+127
+230
+125
+218
2
2		-1.29189-1.30262-1.65449
Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		37.8%
38.7%		23.5%
+185
+155
+195
+151
3
4		-0.96522-0.94233-0.94993
Union Berlin
Bayern Munich		10.2%
79.6%		10.2%
+340
-115
+450
-121
1
1		-1.36586-1.38386-2.28357
Freiburg
Arminia Bielefeld		43.6%
31.7%		24.7%
+180
+175
+176
+180
0
1		-1.04432-1.07180-1.14810
Hertha BSC
Union Berlin		31.8%
43.9%		24.3%
+190
+165
+190
+155
1
1		-1.20811-1.21147-1.41638
Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart		29.0%
48.5%		22.5%
+300
-108
+300
-110
0
1		-0.68397-0.69693-0.72280
Freiburg
Borussia Monchengladbach		26.2%
53.2%		20.6%
+380
-135
+375
-132
1
2		-0.58657-0.59606-0.63173
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig		51.2%
27.4%		21.4%
+160
+170
+150
+171
1
0		-0.97692-0.95980-0.67041
Hoffenheim
Augsburg		45.0%
31.3%		23.7%
+102
+280
+100
+274
1
2		-1.36309-1.35604-1.16021
Arminia Bielefeld
Mainz 05		35.2%
37.9%		26.9%
+350
-115
+370
-120
1
1		-1.32129-1.32640-1.31264
FC Koln
Wolfsburg		22.9%
59.7%		17.4%
+480
-155
+520
-156
0
1		-0.52765-0.51274-0.51544
Schalke 04
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		15.8%
73.2%		11.0%
+950
-330
+1100
-361
1
2		-0.29776-0.27573-0.31256
Eintracht Frankfurt
Dortmund		27.7%
52.2%		20.1%
+345
-130
+341
-130
2
1		-1.52001-1.51969-1.28197
Augsburg
Freiburg		27.3%
50.8%		21.9%
+360
-118
+360
-120
0
2		-0.64963-0.64745-0.67781
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hertha BSC		59.9%
23.0%		17.1%
+110
+250
+105
+261
0
3		-1.28374-1.32840-1.46911
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-0-2 (0.800)0-0.99565 
Sportsbooks53-0-2 (0.800)0-1.00863 
DRatings53-0-2 (0.800)0-0.90916
0.08649
0.09947

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.