German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen 		32.2%
43.8%		23.9%
+232
+118
+225
+119
1.39
1.65		3.04
o2½-120
u2¾-119
o2½-130
u2½+110
Union Berlin
Freiburg 		27.9%
47.2%		24.9%
+266
+116
+260
+115
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2¼-111
u2¼-103
o2½+120
u2½-140
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart 		32.9%
41.9%		25.2%
+163
+150
+173
+145
1.29
1.49		2.78
o3½-111
u3½-104
o3½-105
u3½-105
Games for Mar 14, 2026
Games for Mar 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim		26.1%
54.2%		19.8%
+286
-105
+288
+100
2
1		-1.38119-1.37995-1.34504
Borussia Monchengladbach
Schalke 04		62.0%
21.7%		16.3%
-233
+654
-240
+650
3
0		-0.39286-0.39518-0.47726
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen		50.2%
27.5%		22.3%
-118
+373
-122
+375
2
1		-0.64014-0.64342-0.69013
Dortmund
FC Koln		61.8%
22.4%		15.8%
-208
+550
-215
+575
2
2		-1.61209-1.57475-1.84516
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt		28.7%
49.6%		21.6%
+289
-105
+280
-105
2
5		-0.70096-0.71366-0.70094
VfB Stuttgart
Bayern Munich		11.9%
81.2%		6.9%
+1000
-385
+1000
-425
0
4		-0.25616-0.25771-0.20840
RB Leipzig
Arminia Bielefeld		65.8%
18.9%		15.3%
-238
+775
-271
+835
1
0		-0.11004-0.10576-0.41843
Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart		36.4%
38.1%		25.5%
+170
+154
+170
+155
0
2		-0.96244-0.97562-0.96409
Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig		24.1%
58.4%		17.5%
+434
-154
+425
-120
1
1		-1.96233-1.88651-1.74366
Arminia Bielefeld
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		17.7%
68.4%		14.0%
+700
-227
+690
-246
2
1		-1.79174-1.19653-1.73353
Hertha BSC
Dortmund		20.0%
66.3%		13.7%
+548
-185
+557
-200
0
2		-0.45991-0.45308-0.41080
Bayern Munich
Werder Bremen		82.2%
11.3%		6.5%
-455
+1365
-375
+1200
3
1		-0.11390-0.11390-0.19583
Freiburg
Mainz 05		45.3%
30.6%		24.1%
+225
+140
+224
+165
0
1		-0.90609-0.96822-1.18339
FC Koln
Union Berlin		30.3%
46.8%		22.9%
+324
+100
+310
+100
1
2		-0.73129-0.74345-0.75933
Schalke 04
Wolfsburg		20.6%
62.9%		16.6%
+703
-230
+900
-240
0
5		-0.38668-0.37131-0.46437
Borussia Monchengladbach
Augsburg		57.9%
24.1%		18.0%
-136
+375
-130
+371
1
3		-1.59130-1.58182-1.42429
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06723 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.08198 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.97833
0.08890
0.10365

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.