Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hellas Verona
Juventus		7.4%
78.1%		14.5%
+1750
-525
+1500
-525
1
1		-2.02435-2.00248-1.93254
Milan
Sassuolo		57.7%
20.5%		21.7%
-140
+400
-140
+368
0
2		-1.63923-1.58056-1.58460
Cagliari
Bologna		11.5%
70.9%		17.6%
+285
+132
+375
+114
0
0		-1.14467-1.21564-1.73443
Genoa
Atalanta		12.5%
69.7%		17.8%
+580
-194
+550
-195
0
0		-1.51168-1.50494-1.72507
Napoli
Como		43.8%
29.9%		26.2%
+264
+124
+250
+125
0
0		-1.19624-1.20491-1.33769
Torino
Udinese		31.3%
40.7%		28.0%
+300
+106
+310
+100
0
2		-0.75184-0.73045-0.89801
Lecce
Pisa		28.3%
45.2%		26.4%
+144
+245
+145
+255
2
1		-0.92447-0.91902-1.26090
Udinese
Lazio		24.3%
52.2%		23.5%
+260
+134
+265
+130
3
3		-1.14762-1.16005-1.44885
Atalanta
Cagliari		57.1%
20.3%		22.6%
-137
+410
-134
+380
2
3		-1.65931-1.61520-1.59578
Juventus
Milan		38.3%
35.0%		26.7%
+183
+182
+179
+175
0
0		-1.17034-1.18172-1.31931
Inter
Torino		67.3%
12.8%		19.9%
-250
+710
-260
+675
2
2		-1.67831-1.65942-1.61360
Sassuolo
Fiorentina		23.6%
54.3%		22.0%
+323
+105
+340
-105
0
0		-1.24192-1.22472-1.51317
Lecce
Hellas Verona		35.0%
39.3%		25.6%
+215
+160
+228
+155
0
0		-1.13342-1.11030-1.36125
Roma
Bologna		40.5%
32.8%		26.7%
+119
+270
+125
+255
2
0		-0.81074-0.83880-0.90283
Cremonese
Napoli		8.7%
77.2%		14.2%
+950
-290
+945
-265
0
4		-0.32873-0.33971-0.25939
Fiorentina
Lecce		45.8%
28.9%		25.3%
+114
+285
+115
+270
1
1		-1.24469-1.22085-1.37520
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.