Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+133
+258

1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼-104
u2¼-115

Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-124
+380

1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+103
u2¼-115

Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+305
-102

0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-106
u2¼-106

Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+152
+210

1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+102
u2¼-117

Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-207
+575

2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½+100
u2½-112

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Roma
Genoa		44.8%
28.7%		26.5%
+106
+322
+110
+305
1
4		-1.46495-1.44342-1.24716
Bologna
Monza		25.2%
49.8%		25.0%
+241
+130
+220
+130
0
0		-1.25607-1.24946-1.38525
Udinese
Napoli		8.7%
76.4%		15.0%
+664
-240
+750
-273
1
4		-0.38063-0.35859-0.26976
Torino
Lazio		12.6%
69.2%		18.2%
+262
+125
+250
+130
0
2		-0.83891-0.86071-0.36866
Sassuolo
Inter		8.8%
76.9%		14.3%
+922
-370
+1000
-408
2
1		-2.35704-2.44139-2.42883
Atalanta
Hellas Verona		46.2%
28.8%		25.0%
-111
+342
-107
+325
1
0		-0.66826-0.69321-0.77154
Salernitana
Empoli		29.0%
44.3%		26.6%
+188
+170
+200
+172
0
1		-1.02196-1.02390-0.81378
Milan
Cagliari		62.1%
16.4%		21.6%
-112
+375
-110
+375
3
1		-0.66637-0.66649-0.47688
Roma
Torino		43.6%
29.8%		26.6%
+154
+226
+145
+225
1
1		-1.13635-1.16909-1.32400
Napoli
Bologna		63.0%
16.5%		20.4%
+112
+268
+105
+265
0
0		-1.30996-1.31972-1.58861
Fiorentina
Udinese		36.4%
35.4%		28.1%
+133
+232
+125
+223
2
0		-0.87008-0.85390-1.01002
Cagliari
Atalanta		8.1%
78.1%		13.8%
+700
-230
+690
-245
0
2		-0.39087-0.38431-0.24700
Inter
Empoli		72.7%
10.5%		16.8%
-295
+1000
-330
+950
1
0		-0.29358-0.30152-0.31859
Monza
Lazio		12.9%
68.4%		18.6%
+350
-128
+340
-130
1
1		-1.41367-1.39897-1.68013
Juventus
Sassuolo		53.2%
23.1%		23.7%
-125
+328
-125
+330
2
4		-1.48656-1.49906-1.46400
Hellas Verona
Milan		10.5%
72.7%		16.9%
+825
-252
+760
-255
0
1		-0.35991-0.36879-0.31924
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.93813 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.92798 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.82162
0.11652
0.10636

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.