Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+133
+258

1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼-104
u2¼-115

Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-124
+380

1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+103
u2¼-116

Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+305
-102

0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-106
u2¼-106

Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+152
+210

1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+102
u2¼-117

Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-207
+575

2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½+100
u2½-112

Games for Dec 26, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Napoli
Bologna		60.0%
18.7%		21.4%
+101
+306
+100
+275
2
2		-1.31234-1.30383-1.54402
Empoli
Hellas Verona		26.8%
48.2%		25.0%
+320
-103
+355
-130
1
1		-1.34362-1.37212-1.38806
Atalanta
Inter		15.4%
65.4%		19.2%
+328
-112
+300
-115
2
3		-0.65628-0.67598-0.42534
Roma
Fiorentina		28.8%
45.8%		25.5%
+245
+132
+250
+130
1
2		-0.86432-0.86071-0.78150
Torino
Spezia		39.9%
33.2%		26.9%
+205
+171
+205
+145
4
0		-1.13442-1.16726-0.91839
Udinese
Salernitana		42.3%
30.4%		27.3%
+165
+194
+145
+190
2
3		-1.09428-1.11492-1.18987
Sassuolo
Sampdoria		45.9%
29.4%		24.7%
-115
+316
-115
+280
2
2		-1.42068-1.42366-1.39906
Juventus
Empoli		51.6%
23.7%		24.7%
-124
+417
-135
+400
1
4		-1.66363-1.66036-1.44041
Salernitana
Roma		9.3%
75.1%		15.6%
+595
-176
+625
-195
2
2		-1.44541-1.42454-1.86111
Lazio
Udinese		31.5%
42.4%		26.1%
+105
+311
-105
+295
1
0		-0.72441-0.71885-1.15579
Inter
Napoli		28.7%
45.4%		26.0%
+295
+103
+260
+105
1
3		-0.72396-0.76787-0.79072
Fiorentina
Torino		31.1%
42.0%		26.9%
+290
+118
+285
+105
1
1		-1.20765-1.24327-1.31461
Spezia
Lecce		17.7%
61.7%		20.7%
+310
+112
+330
+105
0
0		-1.20168-1.20631-1.57610
Sampdoria
Milan		5.4%
83.5%		11.1%
+2200
-676
+1750
-700
1
5		-0.14959-0.18617-0.18026
Hellas Verona
Atalanta		10.8%
73.6%		15.6%
+640
-211
+615
-215
1
3		-0.41264-0.42324-0.30640
Bologna
Cremonese		41.3%
31.6%		27.1%
+105
+295
+100
+275
5
1		-0.73641-0.74421-0.88511
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.93813 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.92798 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.82162
0.11652
0.10636

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.