Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+130
+251
+130
+250
1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼+100
u2¼-112
o2½+130
u2½-145
Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-122
+380
-125
+380
1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+107
u2¼-119
o2-140
u2+122
Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+330
-102
+320
-105
0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-102
u2¼-110
o2½+125
u2½-140
Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+152
+212
+155
+210
1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+107
u2¼-120
o2-140
u2+120
Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-212
+640
-215
+605
2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½-101
u2½-111
o2½+100
u2½-115
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sassuolo
Napoli		9.2%
76.5%		14.3%
+900
-350
+925
-390
0
4		-0.28596-0.27915-0.26817
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo		25.3%
51.2%		23.5%
+220
+125
+220
+120
1
2		-0.84065-0.83986-0.67027
Sampdoria
Cremonese		27.1%
46.6%		26.3%
+255
+121
+260
+115
1
0		-1.29656-1.33029-1.30453
Napoli
Roma		34.0%
39.5%		26.5%
+133
+220
+130
+210
1
0		-0.87611-0.88312-1.07760
Lazio
Atalanta		24.8%
52.4%		22.8%
+262
+108
+275
+100
2
0		-1.32069-1.36897-1.39598
Lecce
Bologna		15.7%
64.9%		19.4%
+292
+120
+255
+125
0
2		-0.81324-0.86353-0.43229
Torino
Udinese		19.8%
57.2%		23.0%
+320
-101
+320
-110
2
1		-1.46508-1.48554-1.62004
Inter
Fiorentina		39.0%
33.6%		27.3%
+126
+239
+125
+230
4
3		-0.83989-0.86022-0.94179
Monza
Milan		7.9%
77.5%		14.6%
+625
-200
+650
-250
1
4		-0.43436-0.38687-0.25541
Spezia
Salernitana		24.6%
50.4%		25.0%
+265
+118
+260
+110
0
1		-0.81004-0.79308-0.68474
Empoli
Juventus		6.1%
81.4%		12.4%
+777
-250
+700
-250
0
4		-0.36246-0.38938-0.20530
Fiorentina
Lecce		62.7%
16.8%		20.5%
+115
+283
+110
+275
1
1		-1.23970-1.22799-1.58631
Roma
Sampdoria		62.1%
17.4%		20.5%
-145
+465
-145
+420
1
0		-0.54945-0.57408-0.47647
Milan
Hellas Verona		58.9%
18.9%		22.2%
-182
+535
-190
+550
2
1		-0.47220-0.47164-0.60706
Bologna
Napoli		14.4%
66.6%		19.0%
+1100
-375
+1100
-400
2
3		-0.27118-0.27194-0.40636
Cremonese
Spezia		32.0%
40.5%		27.5%
+202
+154
+210
+145
2
2		-1.21066-1.19448-1.27050
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.