MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
32.6%
67.4%
+172
-180
+175
-190
+1½-128
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
9
-0.45229-0.44150-0.39453
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
28.1%
71.9%
+265
-285
+275
-300
+1½+145
-1½-153
+1½+155
-1½-155
6
2
-1.30885-1.33827-1.26776
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
42.6%
57.4%
+158
-163
+156
-159
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+130
5
1
-0.95514-0.94451-0.85372
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
25.9%
74.1%
+320
-350
+330
-355
+1½+160
-1½-175
+1½+170
-1½-190
0
8
-0.26707-0.26088-0.29953
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
34.9%
65.1%
+220
-225
+220
-235
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-120
4
8
-0.37251-0.36844-0.42960
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
51.9%
48.1%
-108
+103
-111
+104
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
3
0
-0.66719-0.65846-0.65497
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
39.6%
60.4%
+179
-185
+180
-190
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
6
3
-1.03356-1.04185-0.92563
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
41.1%
58.9%
+135
-143
+142
-147
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+145
10
3
-0.86833-0.89211-0.88824
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
46.8%
53.2%
+113
-121
+112
-122
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
4
3
-0.77297-0.77245-0.75845
Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox
46.0%
54.0%
+101
-107
+109
-109

+1½-200
-1½+190
4
2
-0.71245-0.73716-0.77720
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
48.1%
51.9%
-120
+113
-117
+114
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-150
4
9
-0.77096-0.76725-0.65493
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
54.8%
45.2%
-110
+101
-114
+104
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-155
5
4
-0.66771-0.65243-0.60175
New York Mets
New York Yankees
43.9%
56.1%
+132
-142
+129
-138
+1½-158
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
6
-0.55076-0.56140-0.57819
Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds
53.2%
46.8%
-116
+107
-117
+108
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
4
5
-0.74748-0.75211-0.75974
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
33.7%
66.3%
+199
-215
+200
-220
+1½+107
-1½-110
+1½+110
-1½-115
3
13
-0.39878-0.39531-0.41139
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.9%
66.1%
+222
-235
+220
-240
+1½+120
-1½-113
+1½+110
-1½-125
2
19
-0.36652-0.36652-0.41331
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.