MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Angels
42.1%
57.9%
+160
-167
+170
-178
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+115
9
3
-0.96553-1.00387-0.86396
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
48.2%
51.8%
-116
+107
-115
+108
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
1
5
-0.74748-0.74790-0.65803
Colorado Rockies
Kansas City Royals
35.6%
64.4%
+224
-245
+250
-250
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½+105
-1½-120
3
4
-0.36090-0.33647-0.43933
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
30.5%
69.5%
+220
-235
+220
-240
+1½+104
-1½-118
+1½+105
-1½-115
2
4
-0.36844-0.36652-0.36348
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
52.4%
47.6%
-111
+102
-111
+105
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
10
11
-0.72400-0.73162-0.74183
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
34.8%
65.2%
+131
-135
+130
-134
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+163
10
4
-0.84460-0.84033-1.05596
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
52.9%
47.1%
-128
+125
-126
+121
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
1
5
-0.81676-0.80294-0.75243
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
56.9%
43.1%
-131
+122
-130
+122
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
0
7
-0.81491-0.81306-0.84272
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
51.2%
48.8%
+105
-113
+108
-113
+1½-183
-1½+166
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
8
-0.65204-0.64512-0.71644
San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers
48.6%
51.4%
+129
-137
+128
-135
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+175
2
0
-0.84318-0.83716-0.72229
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
54.8%
45.2%
-106
+102
-110
+105
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+155
+1½-160
3
4
-0.71266-0.72940-0.79385
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
49.1%
50.9%
+109
-113
+105
-110
+1½-193
-1½+175

2
3
-0.64285-0.65817-0.67519
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
43.1%
56.9%
+128
-128
+124
-130
+1½-163
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
5
-0.57732-0.58212-0.56330
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
44.7%
55.3%
+130
-135
+126
-134
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
0
7
-0.56352-0.57251-0.59314
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
35.4%
64.6%
+200
-215
+200
-220
+1½-107
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½-110
6
7
-0.39768-0.39531-0.43744
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
47.6%
52.4%
+125
-133
+126
-132
+1½-168
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+168
4
5
-0.57583-0.57531-0.64720
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.