MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers
50.5%
49.5%
+134
-140
+135
-141
+1½-160
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+145
4
6
-0.54962-0.54657-0.70374
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
55.0%
45.0%
-112
+104
-111
+104
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
3
6
-0.73126-0.72909-0.79864
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
53.7%
46.3%
-122
+115
-118
+116
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
4
6
-0.78001-0.77434-0.76992
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
32.7%
67.3%
+252
-280
+260
-290
+1½+135
-1½-143
+1½+135
-1½-135
2
4
-0.32610-0.31741-0.39629
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
52.7%
47.3%
-102
+102
-107
+110
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
1
3
-0.70310-0.73501-0.74913
San Diego Padres
Houston Astros
48.2%
51.8%
+109
-115
+111
-115
+1½-193
-1½+175
+1½-192
-1½+185
3
2
-0.75042-0.75547-0.72925
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Angels
53.1%
46.9%
+104
-108
+103
-111


4
5
-0.66479-0.66083-0.75649
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
44.3%
55.7%
+101
-108
+107
-110

-1½+150
+1½-155
3
2
-0.71474-0.73443-0.81421
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
43.7%
56.3%
+128
-133
+131
-138
+1½-181
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+170
3
2
-0.83354-0.84989-0.82746
Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers
66.3%
33.7%
-151
+144
-150
+143
-1½+107
+1½-119
-1½+105
+1½-115
1
0
-0.51955-0.52227-0.41172
Oakland Athletics
Milwaukee Brewers
45.4%
54.6%
+120
-129
+125
-130
+1½-173
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+165
1
14
-0.59162-0.58016-0.60429
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
58.6%
41.4%
-166
+162
-165
+160
-1½-103
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-115
4
0
-0.47723-0.48102-0.53485
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
37.0%
63.0%
+191
-210
+195
-214
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+105
4
3
-1.08901-1.10211-0.99482
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets
44.4%
55.6%
+128
-137
+126
-135
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
4
7
-0.56460-0.57111-0.58772
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
52.8%
47.2%
-103
-105
-105
-102
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-175
8
3
-0.69788-0.68605-0.63855
Minnesota Twins
Atlanta Braves
50.7%
49.3%
+102
-107
+105
-110

+1½-200
-1½+175
2
6
-0.67178-0.65817-0.70781
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.