MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Guardians
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.8%
51.2%
+112
-120
+112
-112
+1½-182
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
5
4
-0.76841-0.75141-0.71678
Cincinnati Reds
Baltimore Orioles
40.7%
59.3%
+180
-187
+180
-195
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
24
2
-1.03829-1.04762-0.89985
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
29.4%
70.6%
+240
-265
+250
-275
+1½+122
-1½-138
+1½+120
-1½-135
8
4
-1.24372-1.27165-1.22567
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
29.0%
71.0%
+265
-295
+275
-300
+1½+132
-1½-138
+1½+130
-1½-140
7
5
-1.31535-1.33827-1.23781
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Angels
56.6%
43.4%
-140
+131
-140
+131
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-135
3
2
-0.55511-0.55511-0.56879
Minnesota Twins
Atlanta Braves
37.8%
62.2%
+210
-222
+205
-220
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-110
3
4
-0.38383-0.38995-0.47478
Oakland Athletics
Milwaukee Brewers
45.9%
54.1%
+131
-138
+130
-137
+1½-164
-1½+160
+1½-160
-1½+145
3
1
-0.84989-0.84567-0.77932
San Diego Padres
Houston Astros
52.6%
47.4%
-120
+113
-126
+117
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
2
3
-0.77096-0.79290-0.74701
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
54.9%
45.1%
+114
-122
+112
-118
+1½-178
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
8
10
-0.61535-0.62672-0.79660
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
26.0%
74.0%
+298
-335
+300
-330
+1½+150
-1½-163
+1½+150
-1½-165
3
4
-0.28236-0.28198-0.30104
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
56.4%
43.6%
-127
+121
-130
+125
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-130
12
11
-0.59265-0.58016-0.57254
Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers
48.8%
51.2%
+104
-110
+105
-109

+1½-200
-1½+185
3
4
-0.66054-0.66027-0.67027
Cincinnati Reds
Baltimore Orioles
48.5%
51.5%
+119
-126
+126
-120
+1½-182
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
5
9
-0.59829-0.59401-0.66386
Cleveland Guardians
Pittsburgh Pirates
44.7%
55.3%
+155
-161
+155
-165
+1½-133
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
0
-0.94508-0.95078-0.80504
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets
37.4%
62.6%
+182
-188
+180
-190
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
0
3
-0.43388-0.43510-0.46847
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
51.4%
48.6%
-115
+105
-115
+110
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
8
4
-0.64814-0.63673-0.66481
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.