MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
49.2%
50.8%
-109
+103
-112
+105
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
4
1
-0.66503-0.65406-0.70991
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
41.5%
58.5%
+125
-132
+129
-135
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+170
0
4
-0.57725-0.56539-0.53650
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
49.6%
50.4%
+120
-125
+119
-128
+1½-180
-1½+168
+1½-175
-1½+170
1
6
-0.59784-0.59519-0.68609
Kansas City Royals
Philadelphia Phillies
44.8%
55.2%
+127
-135
+126
-135
+1½-160
-1½+152
+1½-155
-1½+150
2
8
-0.56920-0.57111-0.59397
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
51.6%
48.4%
-102
-103
-104
-104
+1½-213
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+195
5
6
-0.69073-0.69315-0.72501
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago Cubs
37.6%
62.4%
+146
-153
+145
-154
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+150
4
6
-0.51413-0.51473-0.47228
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
42.9%
57.1%
+145
-150
+145
-155
+1½-150
-1½+148
+1½-150
-1½+130
6
7
-0.51896-0.51371-0.55989
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
33.6%
66.4%
+226
-250
+230
-245
+1½+112
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-130
0
2
-0.35729-0.35538-0.40932
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
47.2%
52.8%
+123
-131
+124
-134
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+155
2
3
-0.58263-0.57638-0.63915
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
48.9%
51.1%
+106
-113
+105
-112
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
4
6
-0.64972-0.65406-0.67176
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
43.3%
56.7%
+151
-160
+150
-160
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
9
-0.49921-0.50078-0.56725
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
48.3%
51.7%
+116
-124
+118
-125
+1½-195
-1½+173
+1½-185
-1½+170
0
5
-0.60776-0.60195-0.65981
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
38.7%
61.3%
+150
-159
+156
-157
+1½-150
-1½+138
+1½-142
-1½+130
0
6
-0.50173-0.49436-0.48859
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
49.8%
50.2%
-122
+113
-122
+116
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
1
5
-0.77499-0.78255-0.68935
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
46.7%
53.3%
+109
-116
+108
-115
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-200
-1½+175
2
3
-0.63707-0.64124-0.62846
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
25.6%
74.4%
+308
-340
+290
-321
+1½+152
-1½-160
+1½+140
-1½-155
0
9
-0.27550-0.28990-0.29570
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.