MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
53.9%
46.1%
-133
+124
-134
+126
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
7
4
-0.57778-0.57251-0.61880
Pittsburgh Pirates
Boston Red Sox
42.2%
57.8%
+158
-164
+160
-169
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+120
2
5
-0.48487-0.47760-0.54797
San Diego Padres
Minnesota Twins
42.5%
57.5%
+111
-118
+107
-115
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-197
-1½+175
2
7
-0.62891-0.64352-0.55321
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
44.9%
55.1%
+122
-130
+123
-130
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-175
-1½+160
4
7
-0.58609-0.58410-0.59598
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
53.0%
47.0%
-128
+123
-128
+126
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
9
3
-0.58709-0.58119-0.63492
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
32.9%
67.1%
+194
-207
+200
-210
+1½-105
-1½+100
+1½+100
-1½-105
6
1
-1.09270-1.10933-1.11234
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
64.6%
35.4%
-191
+178
-197
+185
-1½-133
+1½+117
-1½-135
+1½+115
4
3
-0.43699-0.42460-0.43627
Baltimore Orioles
San Francisco Giants
50.3%
49.7%
-110
+103
-111
+105
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
11
1
-0.66291-0.65610-0.68786
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
49.8%
50.2%
-112
+105
-115
+110
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-145
1
3
-0.73382-0.75294-0.68921
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
55.3%
44.7%
-148
+141
-145
+135
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
3
4
-0.89126-0.87165-0.80444
San Diego Padres
Minnesota Twins
58.5%
41.5%
-146
+136
-146
+135
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-125
12
3
-0.53880-0.54056-0.53664
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
57.2%
42.8%
-182
+178
-185
+177
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
5
3
-0.44298-0.44222-0.55774
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
42.3%
57.7%
+143
-153
+149
-155
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+135
4
1
-0.90402-0.92168-0.85937
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
41.0%
59.0%
+127
-136
+128
-137
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
2
-0.83644-0.84070-0.89150
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
44.3%
55.7%
+128
-137
+128
-138
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
3
-0.56460-0.56328-0.58589
Pittsburgh Pirates
Boston Red Sox
40.2%
59.8%
+174
-178
+170
-174
+1½-123
-1½+120
+1½-120
-1½+110
10
3
-1.01321-0.99864-0.91165
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.