MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
38.6%
61.4%
+156
-165
+158
-164
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
11
2
-0.95319-0.95654-0.95262
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
39.8%
60.2%
+146
-149
+150
-158
+1½-142
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+125
0
3
-0.51839-0.50269-0.50683
Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals
61.1%
38.9%
-125
+120
-128
+122
-1½+137
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-138
10
3
-0.59784-0.58909-0.49249
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+145
-151
+145
-152
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+136
6
2
-0.90580-0.90736-0.82899
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
51.9%
48.1%
-109
+101
-110
+104
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+143
+1½-150
3
5
-0.71701-0.72685-0.73168
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
54.3%
45.7%
-121
+113
-115
+112
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-148
6
3
-0.61923-0.63228-0.61094
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
51.6%
48.4%
-119
+111
-120
+115
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
3
6
-0.76385-0.77596-0.72577
Cleveland Guardians
Washington Nationals
64.7%
35.3%
-151
+143
-152
+146
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-118
4
3
-0.52120-0.51519-0.43479
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
35.0%
65.0%
+162
-170
+163
-169
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
4
3
-0.97442-0.97543-1.04862
San Francisco Giants
Detroit Tigers
58.7%
41.3%
-146
+138
-146
+141
-1½+108
+1½-123
-1½+112
+1½-120
5
7
-0.88068-0.88802-0.88329
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
47.8%
52.2%
+145
-150
+142
-150
+1½-146
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+140
1
5
-0.51896-0.52396-0.64942
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
58.3%
41.7%
-145
+136
-145
+138
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+111
+1½-125
8
3
-0.53996-0.53645-0.53964
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
43.9%
56.1%
+142
-150
+152
-154
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+130
4
3
-0.89690-0.92738-0.82285
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
40.2%
59.8%
+235
-250
+240
-260
+1½+122
-1½-130
+1½+125
-1½-135
5
0
-1.22166-1.23998-0.91153
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
33.9%
66.1%
+221
-240
+220
-225
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½+115
-1½-120
3
1
-1.18352-1.16796-1.08237
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
42.9%
57.1%
+127
-135
+129
-135
+1½-155
-1½+152
+1½-155
-1½+146
11
2
-0.83466-0.83965-0.84679
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.