MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
45.1%
54.9%
+138
-145
+140
-150
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+137
0
4
-0.53645-0.52736-0.60050
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
43.8%
56.2%
-105
-102
-104
+100
+1½-195
-1½+178
+1½-195
-1½+185
5
4
-0.68605-0.68349-0.82515
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
35.8%
64.2%
+235
-245
+245
-254
+1½+120
-1½-128
+1½+120
-1½-125
5
9
-0.35091-0.33931-0.44363
Kansas City Royals
San Francisco Giants
39.5%
60.5%
+196
-207
+189
-200
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+105
3
1
-1.09721-1.07388-0.92806
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.0%
48.0%
-123
+116
-124
+122
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+128
+1½-145
9
13
-0.78454-0.80151-0.73328
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
48.3%
51.7%
+117
-123
+115
-118
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+178
2
3
-0.60732-0.62019-0.66056
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
50.1%
49.9%
+111
-113
+115
-116
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+178
5
3
-0.75114-0.76761-0.69125
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
34.7%
65.3%
+170
-178
+170
-185
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+115
2
5
-0.45643-0.45144-0.42612
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
55.5%
44.5%
-116
+110
-116
+115
-1½+141
+1½-150
-1½+144
+1½-155
6
7
-0.75509-0.76761-0.80959
Texas Rangers
Chicago Cubs
48.2%
51.8%
+110
-117
+116
-120
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
2
-0.63297-0.61452-0.65863
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
43.7%
56.3%
+152
-161
+156
-160
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
3
9
-0.49671-0.49151-0.57364
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.8%
43.2%
-146
+145
-152
+144
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+111
+1½-110
5
2
-0.52337-0.51849-0.56511
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
41.9%
58.1%
+140
-147
+148
-152
+1½-150
-1½+138
+1½-140
-1½+136
6
7
-0.53071-0.51194-0.54364
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
43.8%
56.2%
+153
-161
+155
-164
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+106
0
1
-0.49517-0.48937-0.57627
San Francisco Giants
Chicago White Sox
44.8%
55.2%
+106
-113
+112
-110
+1½-195
-1½+173
+1½-180
-1½+170
16
6
-0.73854-0.74691-0.80401
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
61.4%
38.6%
-220
+205
-210
+195
-1½-125
+1½+127
-1½-130
+1½+125
6
3
-0.38995-0.40573-0.48748
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.