MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
51.6%
48.4%
-127
+125
-138
+139
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-130
6
3
-0.58467-0.54326-0.66225
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
61.6%
38.4%
-186
+176
-195
+181
-1½-117
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+110
3
0
-0.44284-0.43072-0.48500
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
51.7%
48.3%
-162
+155
-164
+158
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
4
3
-0.49117-0.48487-0.65921
Cleveland Guardians
Oakland Athletics
55.7%
44.3%
-124
+116
-125
+120
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-146
6
4
-0.60776-0.59784-0.58519
San Francisco Giants
Chicago White Sox
42.6%
57.4%
+121
-126
+126
-133
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+165
3
7
-0.59423-0.57389-0.55530
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
32.6%
67.4%
+215
-235
+221
-240
+1½-103
-1½-113
+1½+103
-1½-115
2
8
-0.37333-0.36557-0.39457
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
38.7%
61.3%
+170
-180
+170
-180
+1½-123
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+115
2
5
-0.45497-0.45497-0.48973
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
43.1%
56.9%
+122
-125
+122
-129
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+165
6
7
-0.59377-0.58758-0.56354
Pittsburgh Pirates
Boston Red Sox
40.6%
59.4%
+140
-143
+138
-144
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
4
1
-0.88059-0.87738-0.90074
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
50.7%
49.3%
+112
-120
+112
-120
+1½-175
-1½+168
+1½-170
-1½+160
5
2
-0.76841-0.76841-0.67907
Minnesota Twins
Miami Marlins
56.6%
43.4%
-115
+108
-115
+108
-1½+158
+1½-173
-1½+150
+1½-160
2
5
-0.74790-0.74790-0.83434
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
66.8%
33.2%
-250
+241
-249
+227
-1½-155
+1½+145
-1½-155
+1½+140
7
2
-0.34398-0.35672-0.40276
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
42.4%
57.6%
+155
-161
+154
-160
+1½-152
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+136
2
4
-0.49209-0.49456-0.55219
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.9%
66.1%
+220
-235
+227
-235
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+110
-1½-115
2
5
-0.36844-0.36182-0.41461
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
41.3%
58.7%
+161
-164
+155
-165
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+135
2
11
-0.48043-0.48848-0.53258
Cleveland Guardians
Oakland Athletics
62.2%
37.8%
-179
+170
-182
+172
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-108
3
4
-1.00512-1.01357-0.97212
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.