MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals
52.1%
47.9%
+106
-114
+105
-113
+1½-190
-1½+172

4
9
-0.64777-0.65204-0.73704
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
39.6%
60.4%
+130
-137
+130
-136
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+148
6
3
-0.84567-0.84390-0.92601
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
57.4%
42.6%
-137
+130
-134
+130
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-132
7
4
-0.56084-0.56488-0.55438
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
42.7%
57.3%
+118
-125
+115
-124
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+154
1
3
-0.60195-0.60989-0.55746
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
59.5%
40.5%
-115
+106
-115
+110
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-159
5
1
-0.64582-0.63673-0.51913
San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees
39.6%
60.4%
+121
-128
+126
-126
+1½-175
-1½+158
+1½-165
-1½+160
0
6
-0.59111-0.58426-0.50388
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
48.1%
51.9%
+124
-131
+124
-130
+1½-153
-1½+144
+1½-161
-1½+150
5
9
-0.58066-0.58212-0.65516
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
66.3%
33.7%
-167
+160
-168
+163
-1½-108
+1½-108
-1½-110
+1½-105
1
4
-0.96553-0.97405-1.08892
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
34.0%
66.0%
+240
-260
+234
-260
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+115
-1½-124
1
5
-0.34163-0.34681-0.41538
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
44.1%
55.9%
+125
-132
+124
-130
+1½-183
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
0
-0.82426-0.81805-0.81978
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
28.7%
71.3%
+230
-243
+227
-250
+1½+112
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
1
10
-0.35609-0.35636-0.33776
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
32.1%
67.9%
+214
-225
+213
-226
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-120
4
8
-0.37844-0.37902-0.38771
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
47.6%
52.4%
+137
-144
+139
-144
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
8
9
-0.53940-0.53589-0.64653
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
58.9%
41.1%
-150
+145
-150
+140
-1½+102
+1½-118
-1½+102
+1½-120
2
0
-0.51896-0.52736-0.53016
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
38.2%
61.8%
+170
-172
+168
-175
+1½-131
-1½+127
+1½-138
-1½+125
2
12
-0.46104-0.46143-0.48119
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
48.3%
51.7%
+134
-141
+135
-145
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-154
-1½+140
2
6
-0.54837-0.54173-0.66039
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.