MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
52.3%
47.7%
+103
-110
-102
-105
-1½+159
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
6
2
-0.72433-0.70029-0.64758
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
56.5%
43.5%
-158
+156
-160
+155
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-105
13
1
-0.49340-0.49303-0.57132
San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees
42.2%
57.8%
+129
-136
+129
-136
+1½-163
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+145
7
5
-0.84142-0.84142-0.86251
Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers
54.3%
45.7%
-117
+110
-115
+111
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+145
+1½-160
3
16
-0.75717-0.75547-0.78301
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
65.5%
34.5%
-235
+218
-230
+220
-1½-148
+1½+132
-1½-140
+1½+130
7
1
-0.37038-0.37044-0.42295
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
51.4%
48.6%
-107
+107
-110
+106
-1½+160
+1½-163
-1½+168
+1½-170
3
1
-0.65989-0.65583-0.66497
Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals
54.4%
45.6%
-126
+118
-130
+122
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-140
1
4
-0.79542-0.81306-0.78559
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
42.0%
58.0%
+128
-136
+129
-134
+1½-158
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
4
6
-0.56593-0.56676-0.54512
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
38.0%
62.0%
+148
-156
+152
-156
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
9
4
-0.92078-0.93044-0.96640
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.0%
62.0%
+172
-180
+172
-187
+1½-117
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+110
2
1
-1.01107-1.01965-0.96672
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
34.9%
65.1%
+178
-188
+175
-188
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
4
1
-1.03488-1.02786-1.05191
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
38.9%
61.1%
+146
-154
+145
-155
+1½-153
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+136
3
6
-0.51309-0.51371-0.49191
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
56.0%
44.0%
+103
-104
+107
-105
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
1
2
-0.67615-0.66433-0.82178
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
46.9%
53.1%
+108
-116
+107
-112
+1½-215
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+197
0
3
-0.63934-0.64942-0.63373
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.6%
60.4%
+150
-158
+155
-165
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
8
-0.50269-0.48848-0.50370
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
63.7%
36.3%
-198
+185
-201
+193
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-116
+1½+110
1
2
-1.06250-1.08403-1.01415
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.