MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.9%
42.1%
-116
+109
-115
+109
-1½+147
+1½-163
-1½+146
+1½-165
8
7
-0.63707-0.63898-0.54587
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
39.9%
60.1%
+172
-181
+165
-178
+1½-132
-1½+117
+1½-140
-1½+125
3
5
-0.45157-0.46334-0.50851
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
37.5%
62.5%
+142
-152
+147
-152
+1½-156
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+145
6
7
-0.52182-0.51355-0.47056
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
31.0%
69.0%
+258
-290
+263
-285
+1½+122
-1½-138
+1½+125
-1½-135
2
4
-0.31893-0.31637-0.37119
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
56.8%
43.2%
+102
-110
+113
-108
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
5
4
-0.72177-0.74478-0.56572
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
25.9%
74.1%
+305
-345
+300
-340
+1½+157
-1½-170
+1½+160
-1½-165
2
1
-1.42068-1.40879-1.35174
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
57.7%
42.3%
-163
+153
-160
+160
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+110
+1½-120
4
5
-0.94312-0.95550-0.86052
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
36.1%
63.9%
+225
-250
+220
-240
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
4
3
-1.20041-1.18136-1.01985
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
37.3%
62.7%
+161
-173
+162
-168
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
7
-0.47287-0.47552-0.46690
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
47.4%
52.6%
+108
-115
+112
-118
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
0
-0.74790-0.76430-0.74623
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
47.4%
52.6%
+101
-108
+100
-106
+1½-210
-1½+189
+1½-216
-1½+195
2
3
-0.67201-0.67889-0.64320
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
36.4%
63.6%
+233
-260
+225
-250
+1½+112
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-120
5
6
-0.34770-0.35820-0.45229
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
53.6%
46.4%
-133
+129
-135
+129
-1½+123
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-133
3
4
-0.83602-0.83965-0.76841
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
55.7%
44.3%
-114
+108
-115
+112
-1½+137
+1½-151
-1½+140
+1½-145
4
1
-0.64318-0.63228-0.58607
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
57.1%
42.9%
-147
+141
-145
+137
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-128
3
1
-0.52899-0.53820-0.56112
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
50.5%
49.5%
+105
-114
+110
-110
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+178
1
3
-0.65009-0.64663-0.70380
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.