MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
57.5%
42.5%
-147
+142
-147
+142
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-128
0
4
-0.89211-0.89211-0.85501
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
63.6%
36.4%
-145
+138
-146
+140
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-125
2
3
-0.87904-0.88557-1.01033
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
37.7%
62.3%
+179
-191
+177
-188
+1½-128
-1½+113
+1½-130
-1½+117
5
2
-1.04072-1.03254-0.97493
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
47.2%
52.8%
+118
-124
+120
-125
+1½-183
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
5
-0.60358-0.59784-0.63944
Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres
40.7%
59.3%
+145
-152
+144
-148
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-155
-1½+155
2
1
-0.90736-0.89857-0.89887
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
32.0%
68.0%
+226
-235
+230
-239
+1½+102
-1½-111
+1½+105
-1½-115
10
3
-1.18994-1.20194-1.13831
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.3%
68.7%
+229
-255
+240
-257
+1½+115
-1½-128
+1½+125
-1½-125
4
1
-1.21291-1.23767-1.16018
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
47.5%
52.5%
+110
-118
+110
-115
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
3
8
-0.63113-0.63673-0.64441
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
45.3%
54.7%
+118
-126
+118
-124
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-178
-1½+170
3
4
-0.60037-0.60358-0.60292
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
34.0%
66.0%
+157
-170
+164
-168
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-142
-1½+135
7
5
-0.96247-0.97641-1.07960
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
37.3%
62.7%
+169
-182
+165
-175
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
8
-0.45490-0.46561-0.46651
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
42.8%
57.2%
+149
-159
+151
-157
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+138
1
3
-0.50332-0.50210-0.55897
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
41.2%
58.8%
+157
-169
+160
-165
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-147
-1½+130
4
3
-0.96111-0.96273-0.88751
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
35.9%
64.1%
+205
-222
+208
-220
+1½-110
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+105
5
7
-0.38904-0.38680-0.44540
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
39.9%
60.1%
+186
-202
+181
-195
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+115
3
6
-0.42051-0.43072-0.50993
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
37.5%
62.5%
+114
-122
+123
-122
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+170
3
1
-0.77751-0.79998-0.97960
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.