MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
51.8%
48.2%
-113
+106
-117
+110
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-150
5
10
-0.73854-0.75717-0.73050
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
59.7%
40.3%
-161
+153
-159
+152
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-119
5
1
-0.49517-0.49860-0.51637
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
43.3%
56.7%
+138
-146
+145
-142
+1½-156
-1½+147
+1½-150
-1½+145
5
4
-0.88068-0.89101-0.83766
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
61.6%
38.4%
-238
+216
-230
+215
-1½-140
+1½+129
-1½-130
+1½+116
9
5
-0.37117-0.37533-0.48441
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
54.1%
45.9%
-119
+118
-115
+110
-1½+125
+1½-136
-1½+130
+1½-138
3
0
-0.61205-0.63673-0.61423
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
53.6%
46.4%
-121
+112
-118
+120
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-145
1
4
-0.77044-0.78428-0.76886
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
46.7%
53.3%
+163
-173
+160
-170
+1½-133
-1½+122
+1½-143
-1½+125
3
5
-0.47002-0.47678-0.63015
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.5%
70.5%
+279
-315
+276
-300
+1½+142
-1½-155
+1½+145
-1½-155
6
1
-1.35499-1.34025-1.22220
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
52.1%
47.9%
-135
+126
-134
+126
-1½+110
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-128
6
1
-0.57111-0.57251-0.65249
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
61.7%
38.3%
-208
+193
-210
+201
-1½-125
+1½+112
-1½-120
+1½+110
1
2
-1.09148-1.11155-0.96019
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
48.0%
52.0%
+122
-131
+124
-131
+1½-180
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+170
0
1
-0.58462-0.58066-0.65450
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
51.1%
48.9%
+118
-127
+120
-127
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
8
2
-0.79735-0.80236-0.67139
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
54.2%
45.8%
-121
+112
-120
+114
-1½+134
+1½-148
-1½+133
+1½-145
2
5
-0.77044-0.77347-0.77986
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
44.8%
55.2%
+134
-144
+135
-140
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-151
-1½+145
2
7
-0.54473-0.54782-0.59368
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Yankees
31.0%
69.0%
+242
-260
+245
-262
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+115
-1½-124
2
14
-0.33994-0.33683-0.37170
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
43.1%
56.9%
+136
-146
+142
-146
+1½-148
-1½+136
+1½-145
-1½+135
1
8
-0.53880-0.52841-0.56370
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.