MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
49.1%
50.9%
+103
-104
+100
-102
+1½-205
-1½+183
+1½-200
-1½+190
3
4
-0.67615-0.68824-0.67617
Boston Red Sox
Cincinnati Reds
57.5%
42.5%
-144
+138
-143
+136
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½+102
+1½-115
1
5
-0.87738-0.87079-0.85592
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
54.6%
45.4%
-124
+117
-122
+120
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-152
5
2
-0.60567-0.60274-0.60534
Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins
51.3%
48.7%
+101
-109
+104
-110
+1½-221
-1½+192
+1½-220
-1½+195
4
3
-0.71701-0.72685-0.66654
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
54.2%
45.8%
-125
+121
-128
+125
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-142
0
6
-0.80100-0.81676-0.78100
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
33.4%
66.6%
+228
-255
+220
-240
+1½+114
-1½-128
+1½+115
-1½-122
3
2
-1.21076-1.18136-1.09739
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.3%
66.7%
+249
-276
+255
-271
+1½+122
-1½-138
+1½+130
-1½-135
5
2
-1.27029-1.27902-1.09823
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
59.2%
40.8%
-234
+212
-230
+213
-1½-133
+1½+117
-1½-125
+1½+115
1
4
-1.15874-1.15734-0.89747
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
47.8%
52.2%
+105
-110
+102
-108
+1½-190
-1½+178
+1½-210
-1½+190
0
5
-0.65817-0.66959-0.64915
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
40.1%
59.9%
+161
-171
+157
-165
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+131
10
7
-0.97339-0.95558-0.91335
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
49.7%
50.3%
+104
-112
+108
-113
+1½-173
-1½+160

6
3
-0.73126-0.74360-0.69961
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
53.1%
46.9%
-108
+101
-108
+103
-1½+147
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-150
4
5
-0.71474-0.71980-0.75739
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
49.8%
50.2%
-120
+113
-120
+116
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
5
2
-0.62096-0.61452-0.69814
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
54.6%
45.4%
-118
+112
-115
+110
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-155
7
5
-0.62672-0.63673-0.60426
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
28.4%
71.6%
+283
-320
+289
-320
+1½+145
-1½-158
+1½+145
-1½-160
2
3
-0.29468-0.29073-0.33440
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Yankees
28.1%
71.9%
+273
-305
+270
-292
+1½+130
-1½-138
+1½+130
-1½-131
8
9
-0.30454-0.30956-0.33041
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.