MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.6%
38.4%
-144
+137
-141
+138
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+110
+1½-128
6
1
-0.53940-0.54125-0.48430
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
50.3%
49.7%
+116
-125
+116
-125
+1½-178
-1½+162
+1½-178
-1½+170
1
5
-0.60613-0.60613-0.69991
Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
44.1%
55.9%
+107
-115
+111
-115
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
4
3
-0.74537-0.75547-0.81860
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
34.7%
65.3%
+210
-225
+220
-240
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
3
0
-1.14618-1.18136-1.05947
New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers
58.5%
41.5%
-171
+161
-170
+164
-1½-103
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-108
12
8
-0.47449-0.47101-0.53676
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
28.9%
71.1%
+292
-330
+285
-316
+1½+132
-1½-148
+1½+140
-1½-145
2
11
-0.28699-0.29412-0.34100
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
51.1%
48.9%
-103
-105
+100
-103
-1½+154
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-170
3
0
-0.69788-0.70051-0.67182
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
25.5%
74.5%
+381
-430
+385
-450
+1½+165
-1½-173
+1½+160
-1½-180
3
7
-0.22813-0.22474-0.29456
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
36.7%
63.3%
+180
-195
+175
-185
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+110
5
4
-1.04762-1.02427-1.00267
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
39.4%
60.6%
+175
-189
+177
-190
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-108
-1½+100
3
13
-0.44214-0.43891-0.50124
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
36.7%
63.3%
+225
-251
+227
-250
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½-103
-1½-115
2
5
-0.35786-0.35636-0.45672
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
60.6%
39.4%
-165
+156
-160
+160
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½+100
+1½-115
3
1
-0.48696-0.48552-0.50051
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
37.1%
62.9%
+179
-193
+181
-190
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-127
-1½+120
3
5
-0.43447-0.43383-0.46296
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
55.2%
44.8%
-153
+143
-150
+150
-1½+107
+1½-121
-1½+106
+1½-120
11
5
-0.51909-0.51083-0.59471
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
46.9%
53.1%
+111
-118
+108
-113
+1½-195
-1½+188

1
2
-0.62891-0.64512-0.63331
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
63.8%
36.2%
-285
+253
-285
+260
-1½-168
+1½+160
-1½-170
+1½+165
7
2
-0.32403-0.31864-0.44992
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.