MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.4%
43.6%
+101
-108
+102
-107
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+195
2
0
-0.71474-0.71498-0.57226
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
45.2%
54.8%
-105
-103
-105
+102
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+160
+1½-170
3
4
-0.69788-0.71031-0.60181
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
35.7%
64.3%
+190
-208
+197
-205
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-110
-1½+110
0
1
-0.41252-0.40609-0.44183
New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers
50.0%
50.0%
+132
-141
+132
-133
+1½-172
-1½+160
+1½-173
-1½+170
1
4
-0.55199-0.56252-0.69253
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
48.2%
51.8%
+127
-136
+130
-130
+1½-162
-1½+147
+1½-161
-1½+155
6
7
-0.56784-0.57054-0.65739
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
36.9%
63.1%
+242
-260
+240
-262
+1½+112
-1½-128
+1½+110
-1½-125
8
5
-1.24414-1.24150-0.99693
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
29.3%
70.7%
+270
-305
+278
-300
+1½+127
-1½-143
+1½+130
-1½-140
1
5
-0.30666-0.30213-0.34733
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
56.1%
43.9%
-145
+138
-145
+135
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
4
3
-0.53645-0.54173-0.57859
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
44.6%
55.4%
+115
-124
+121
-124
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+176
1
5
-0.60989-0.59740-0.59104
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
44.4%
55.6%
+124
-131
+127
-135
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+150
9
0
-0.81991-0.83466-0.81299
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
49.4%
50.6%
-125
+116
-121
+118
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
3
5
-0.78847-0.78553-0.68067
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
36.6%
63.4%
+148
-155
+147
-155
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
6
-0.50886-0.51046-0.45621
Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
43.9%
56.1%
+123
-131
+126
-130
+1½-155
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+145
3
1
-0.81742-0.82303-0.82428
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
35.7%
64.3%
+219
-244
+220
-240
+1½+102
-1½-117
+1½+105
-1½-115
1
5
-0.36600-0.36652-0.44150
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
39.2%
60.8%
+174
-185
+180
-185
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-128
-1½+120
1
5
-0.44612-0.43838-0.49742
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
59.2%
40.8%
-154
+148
-151
+145
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+110
+1½-123
5
0
-0.50986-0.51788-0.52366
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.