MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.7%
39.3%
-183
+174
-180
+171
-1½-118
+1½+102
-1½-110
+1½-103
12
3
-0.44751-0.45361-0.49942
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
54.9%
45.1%
-154
+145
-154
+148
-1½+110
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-123
7
8
-0.91046-0.91774-0.79720
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
35.1%
64.9%
+242
-264
+240
-260
+1½+115
-1½-128
+1½+115
-1½-128
5
6
-0.33872-0.34163-0.43223
New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers
55.4%
44.6%
-109
+101
-111
+104
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+150
+1½-160
6
7
-0.71701-0.72909-0.80697
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
25.7%
74.3%
+306
-345
+305
-345
+1½+135
-1½-148
+1½+140
-1½-145
0
5
-0.27589-0.27648-0.29706
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
37.3%
62.7%
+186
-201
+185
-194
+1½-118
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+110
2
7
-0.42108-0.42641-0.46603
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
54.1%
45.9%
-143
+133
-142
+138
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
3
-0.86339-0.87402-0.77862
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
44.5%
55.5%
+148
-157
+148
-151
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
3
4
-0.50687-0.51299-0.58808
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
47.8%
52.2%
+141
-149
+142
-150
+1½-159
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
4
3
-0.89287-0.89690-0.73806
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
37.3%
62.7%
+193
-211
+190
-205
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-110
1
2
-0.40750-0.41412-0.46670
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
32.2%
67.8%
+225
-240
+229
-255
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-120
3
4
-0.36179-0.35287-0.38792
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
41.9%
58.1%
+148
-156
+152
-160
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+125
3
6
-0.50785-0.49765-0.54335
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
47.0%
53.0%
-124
+115
-123
+117
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
4
5
-0.78397-0.78704-0.63527
Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
43.0%
57.0%
+113
-120
+116
-120
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+165
1
2
-0.62096-0.61452-0.56226
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.9%
41.1%
-158
+148
-157
+152
-1½-102
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½-110
0
4
-0.92377-0.93194-0.89031
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
33.2%
66.8%
+248
-279
+250
-260
+1½+122
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-135
3
2
-1.27026-1.26068-1.10235
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.